Dr. Shehab Al-Makahleh There are moments in history when the stage is stripped bare, when the actors—once draped in grandeur—are revealed as mere performers reciting borrowed lines. The current war orbiting Iran, the United States, and Israel is one such moment: a geopolitical drama that would make Niccolò Machiavelli nod …
Read More »The Fragility of Short-Term Gains: Russia, Local Populations, and Strategic Dynamics in the Eastern Mediterranean
Lama Al-Rakad Russia’s recent strategic moves in the Eastern Mediterranean, particularly in coastal areas, highlight a recurring pattern in geopolitics: powers that neglect to empower local populations often achieve only temporary gains. Using George Friedman’s analytical framework, this article examines how Russia’s reliance on direct military and economic …
Read More »The Narrow Path to a U.S.‑Iran Deal
Laurence Norman The prospects of a diplomatic deal ending the war between the U.S. and Iran look dim right now. But Middle East veterans say there is a pathway for an agreement if the two sides want to engage. Mediators from Turkey, Egypt and Pakistan are pushing for …
Read More »The United States is Undermining Its Own Objectives in Iran
The US and Israel have continued their offensive in Iran, over three weeks since launching their initial airstrikes. The United States has stated that the strikes were necessary to ensure Iran never possesses nuclear weapons and that its terrorist proxies are not allowed to destabilise the region. The …
Read More »Ballistic Diplomacy: Iran, Diego Garcia, and the Mauritius Concession
Arthur Michelino When Iran launched two ballistic missiles toward Diego Garcia on 20 March 2026, the immediate analytical response focused on what the strike revealed about Iranian missile capability and the erosion of assumed sanctuaries in American power projection. Both observations are legitimate as far as they go. …
Read More »G7 to Press U.S. on Russian Support for Iran Amid Middle East War
Since late February, the United States and Israel have conducted strikes on Iranian targets after nuclear talks failed, triggering Iranian retaliatory attacks on Israel, U.S. bases, and Gulf states. These strikes have also disrupted fuel exports through the Strait of Hormuz, sending energy prices soaring and creating instability …
Read More »Trump Forgot the Strait, and Now America Pays the Price
With Donald Trump back in the White House, and with the administration still selling Operation Epic Fury as a triumph and decisive American power, the gap between performance and policy is impossible to miss. Trump speaks as though force alone can solve whatever he touches. He treats a …
Read More »Why South Korean Missile Defense Systems Could Become Essential for Middle Eastern Security
Dr. Ju Hyung Kim Iran’s large-scale missile and drone attack against its neighboring countries exposed a critical vulnerability in modern warfare: even advanced missile defense systems can run out of interceptors faster than they can be replenished. In contemporary conflicts, the decisive factor might be which side runs …
Read More »Will Iran Become a Second Vietnam for the US? Or Worse?
Ulrike Reisner What is unfolding before our eyes is of historic significance. The United States will lose its claim to hegemony over the world just a few decades after the fall of the USSR. There is a considerable discrepancy between what the official Western media report about the …
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