Military & Security

The next major transformation in warfare may not be defined by the introduction of another fighter aircraft, missile system or surveillance platform. It may instead be determined by the growing ability of machines to identify, select and engage targets with diminishing human intervention. Artificial intelligence is already transforming …

  The end of the United Nations peacekeeping mission in Western Sahara marks a turning point in one of North Africa’s longest-running territorial disputes. After more than three decades of international involvement, the termination of MINURSO raises a fundamental question: what happens when an international mechanism designed to …

Angela Smith The prospect of renewed negotiations between Russia and Ukraine presents an important diplomatic opportunity, but it also exposes the fundamental difficulty of ending a war in which the parties continue to disagree over territory, sovereignty and the future European security architecture. The planned United States-mediated trilateral …

Antony Baker The global energy crisis has once again demonstrated that geography remains one of the most powerful instruments of international politics. The Strait of Hormuz is not merely a maritime passage connecting the Gulf to international markets. It is a strategic artery through which the economic stability …

James Sullivan Key Points The regional conflict has exposed the limits of relying exclusively on external security guarantees. Saudi Arabia, Türkiye and Pakistan are developing a more structured defence relationship. The UAE and other Gulf states are increasingly balancing military preparedness with diplomatic engagement. Iran remains a central …

Dr. Shehab Al-Makahleh Key points The Democratic victory in both chambers of Congress represents a significant political setback for Donald Trump. Congressional opposition will increase scrutiny of military spending, foreign commitments and executive decisions. The president nevertheless retains considerable constitutional authority over foreign policy and military operations. Allies …

Key points American political division creates uncertainty well beyond the transatlantic alliance. The Indo-Pacific, Red Sea and Sahel are becoming increasingly interconnected strategic theatres. Russia, China, Türkiye and Gulf states are expanding their diplomatic and economic roles. Regional powers will seek greater autonomy rather than exclusive dependence on …

Key points The Iran war has become both a regional conflict and a domestic political liability in the United States. Congressional scrutiny may increase, but the White House retains military authority. Gulf diplomacy, energy security and regional de-escalation will become more important. China may seek a diplomatic role, …

Key points Democratic control of Congress constrains Trump’s domestic agenda and increases oversight. Foreign policy remains largely in presidential hands, but budgets and political legitimacy matter. Allies must distinguish enduring American interests from the priorities of one administration. The republic’s foreign-policy problem America’s midterm elections have delivered an …