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Saudi’s strategy for Yemen: a stick for the southerners, a carrot for Europe’s defense ministries

Willy Fautre Saudi Arabia’s Yemen policy master, Riyadh’s ambassador Mohammed al-Jaber, believes in stick-and-carrot diplomacy—he shows the stick to Yemen’s dissenters and the carrot to Europe’s defense ministries. And it’s a contradiction that now runs straight through Europe’s own legal order. Al‑Jaber is no ordinary envoy. Since 2014 …

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Why the Russia–Ukraine War Has Become a Contest of Endurance?

“The Russia–Ukraine War has now exceeded the duration of the First World War, yet Russia is short of achieving its original political objectives, and Ukraine, supported by NATO, hasn’t given up.” This prolonged contest of wills has morphed into a grinding, industrial-age war of attrition fought with twenty-first-century …

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The Return of the Rivalry: Latin America in the New Great Power Contest

Until not so long ago Latin America had been considered a quiet region, located far from the world’s superpower main strategic confrontations, with sporadic but crucial moments that helped to shape the international order as we know it today. The Cuban Missile Crisis is the clearest example: it …

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NATO’s Credibility Crisis: When the Alliance Survives But the Guarantee Dies

National flags of NATO members flutter at the alliance’s headquarters in Brussels, Belgium April 2, 2025. REUTERS/Yves Herman/File Photo/File Photo Last Tuesday, Secretary of State Marco Rubio told European defense ministers that Article 5 the collective defense clause binding NATO together for 75 years was now conditional on …

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US-Iran War Losses Still Trail the 1979 Oil Shock in Total Economic Impact

The ongoing war in Iran has caused the largest oil supply shock in history, resulting in daily production losses that are unprecedented. However, the oil crisis linked to the 1979 Iranian Revolution remains the largest when considering total cumulative supply loss. This situation has drawn comparisons to past …

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The Return of Great-Power Spheres of Influence

Marta Rehnman After decades of a rule-based international order built on the principle ofnational sovereignty and territorial integrity and equal interactions based on  multilateralism, which emerged after two world wars driven by nationalist expansionism and imperial rivalries, a new era of geopolitics ruled by great powers who are …

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Assessing the Global Impact of the U.S.-Iran Deal

Holger Schmieding In their framework agreement (to be signed on Friday), Iran and the United States have apparently left some key issues unresolved. Lots of open issues Examples seem to include the dilution or disposal of Iran’s highly enriched uranium, the Israel/Lebanon issue, some details of long-term sanctions …

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The Globalization of Hamas Under Turkey’s Patronage

 Hadi Elis Over the past two decades, Hamas has evolved from a predominantly localized Palestinian militant movement into a transnational organization with extensive political, financial, and operational networks spanning multiple continents. This transformation has not occurred in isolation. Rather, it has been facilitated by a combination of state …

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Is the Strait of Hormuz reopening driving a tanker market recovery?

The partial reopening of the Strait of Hormuz is beginning to reshape global oil shipping, with tanker owners and charterers repositioning vessels in anticipation of a sustained recovery in Gulf exports. Although the strategic waterway remains only partially navigable and subject to heightened security risks, shipping data, vessel …

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