The ongoing war in Iran has caused the largest oil supply shock in history, resulting in daily production losses that are unprecedented. However, the oil crisis linked to the 1979 Iranian Revolution remains the largest when considering total cumulative supply loss. This situation has drawn comparisons to past …
Read More »The Return of Great-Power Spheres of Influence
Marta Rehnman After decades of a rule-based international order built on the principle ofnational sovereignty and territorial integrity and equal interactions based on multilateralism, which emerged after two world wars driven by nationalist expansionism and imperial rivalries, a new era of geopolitics ruled by great powers who are …
Read More »From the IAEA to the G7: The Contested Meaning of Global AI Governance
Tuhu Nugraha U.S. President Donald Trump, OpenAI CEO Sam Altman, Google DeepMind CEO Demis Hassabis, South Korea’s President Lee Jae Myung, Germany’s Chancellor Friedrich Merz and Japan’s Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi attend a working lunch with G7 leaders, G7 outreach partners and global tech CEOs on innovation and …
Read More »Why the United States Needs India’s Democratic AI Model
Dimitra Staikou When Prime Minister Narendra Modi arrived at the G7 summit, the most consequential conversation was not about trade, tariffs, or diplomacy. It was about who will shape the future of artificial intelligence—and whether that future will be defined solely by the United States and China. India …
Read More »The Politics of Energy Transition: How Gulf States are Preparing for a Post-Hydrocarbon Future
Khizar Hayat “My grandfather rode a camel, my father rode a camel, I ride a Mercedes, my son rides a Land Rover, and my grandson is going to ride a Land Rover…but my great-grandson is going to have to ride a camel again.” Sheikh Rashid, the late ruler …
Read More »Sovereign AI, but Who Watches the State?
Raditio Ghifiardi In early June 2026, aboard Air Force One, President Donald Trump confirmed to reporters that the White House was discussing the possibility of taking an equity stake in OpenAI. A few days earlier, Senator Bernie Sanders had introduced a bill proposing the federal government acquire 50 …
Read More »A Syrian Incursion into Lebanon Would Be Washington’s Biggest Mistake
At a moment when Hezbollah faces one of the most severe crises in its history, Washington risks handing the group the very lifeline it desperately needs. Recent comments by President Donald Trump suggesting that Syria could play a role in facilitating more precise operations against Hezbollah have revived …
Read More »China’s Private Security Companies in the Middle East: Commercial Actors, Strategic Tools
Dr. John Calabrese Chinese PSCs are state-adjacent actors embedded in China’s overseas economic expansion, particularly under the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), generating new arenas of US–China security competition in fragile environments. Existing regulatory frameworks have not significantly constrained this trend. International rules remain fragmented, while domestic regulation …
Read More »Who Controls Artificial Intelligence? The Politics of Frontier AI
Pranjal Saraswat Imagine a policy analyst in Brussels arriving at work on an ordinary morning, carrying coffee in one hand and reports on European cyber resilience in the other. Before her meeting begins, she opens an advanced artificial intelligence platform she regularly uses to map cyber vulnerabilities and …
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