The growing relationship between Israel and Somaliland is not merely another diplomatic breakthrough. It is part of a broader geopolitical contest unfolding across one of the world’s most strategic regions: the Red Sea, the Gulf of Aden, and the Horn of Africa. While much international attention remains focused …
Read More »A Syrian Incursion into Lebanon Would Be Washington’s Biggest Mistake
At a moment when Hezbollah faces one of the most severe crises in its history, Washington risks handing the group the very lifeline it desperately needs. Recent comments by President Donald Trump suggesting that Syria could play a role in facilitating more precise operations against Hezbollah have revived …
Read More »Syria’s Unexpected Oil Windfall: How the Strait of Hormuz Crisis Could Redraw the Middle East’s Energy Map
History has a habit of producing unlikely winners. As the closure of the Strait of Hormuz sends shockwaves through global energy markets and forces oil exporters to scramble for alternative routes, one country—long written off as a geopolitical and economic casualty—has emerged as an unexpected beneficiary: Syria. For …
Read More »Has Trump Found an Exit From the Iran War or Simply Frozen a More Dangerous Conflict?
The conflict began after U.S. and Israeli strikes targeted Iranian military and nuclear facilities. Washington framed the campaign as necessary to eliminate Iran’s nuclear threat and weaken its regional military network. However, the war evolved into a broader regional confrontation. Iran demonstrated its ability to disrupt global energy …
Read More »China’s Private Security Companies in the Middle East: Commercial Actors, Strategic Tools
Dr. John Calabrese Chinese PSCs are state-adjacent actors embedded in China’s overseas economic expansion, particularly under the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), generating new arenas of US–China security competition in fragile environments. Existing regulatory frameworks have not significantly constrained this trend. International rules remain fragmented, while domestic regulation …
Read More »The New AI Geopolitics: Governance, Power, and Technological Nationalism
Cristina Vanberghen This article explores the rising convergence of national security considerations and global proliferation of artificial intelligence (AI) technology, especially focusing on the geopolitical ramifications of U.S. limitations on exporting cutting-edge AI technologies and its impact on Europe’s technological autonomy. Based on recent political rhetoric and policy …
Read More »Loose Bricks? The Question of BRICS
Mugdha Joshi The spokesperson for India’s External Affairs Ministry, Randhir Jaiswal, said in March that “India is actively engaging with member countries of BRICS to arrive at a common position on the ongoing conflict in West Asia.” These talks ended up an exercise in futility, with member states …
Read More »Hegemony, Sovereignty, and the Price of the American Guarantee
Arthur Michelino The American attempt to end the war with Iran on its own terms has also been an attempt to rearrange the region around it. Alongside the terms it pressed to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and lift its blockade, the United States pressed the Gulf and …
Read More »Who Controls Artificial Intelligence? The Politics of Frontier AI
Pranjal Saraswat Imagine a policy analyst in Brussels arriving at work on an ordinary morning, carrying coffee in one hand and reports on European cyber resilience in the other. Before her meeting begins, she opens an advanced artificial intelligence platform she regularly uses to map cyber vulnerabilities and …
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