By Engineer Saleem Al-Batayneh The American midterm elections of November 4 delivered a political earthquake to Washington. With Democrats taking control of both chambers of Congress, the result became a direct referendum on President Donald Trump’s leadership, particularly his handling of the economy, the war, government spending and …
Read More »When machines choose their targets: The urgent need to regulate autonomous warfare
The next major transformation in warfare may not be defined by the introduction of another fighter aircraft, missile system or surveillance platform. It may instead be determined by the growing ability of machines to identify, select and engage targets with diminishing human intervention. Artificial intelligence is already transforming …
Read More »Western Sahara after MINURSO: A diplomatic failure with regional consequences
The end of the United Nations peacekeeping mission in Western Sahara marks a turning point in one of North Africa’s longest-running territorial disputes. After more than three decades of international involvement, the termination of MINURSO raises a fundamental question: what happens when an international mechanism designed to …
Read More »The Strait of Hormuz and the new geopolitics of energy insecurity
Antony Baker The global energy crisis has once again demonstrated that geography remains one of the most powerful instruments of international politics. The Strait of Hormuz is not merely a maritime passage connecting the Gulf to international markets. It is a strategic artery through which the economic stability …
Read More »The Middle East After The War: A New Regional Order Is Taking Shape
James Sullivan Key Points The regional conflict has exposed the limits of relying exclusively on external security guarantees. Saudi Arabia, Türkiye and Pakistan are developing a more structured defence relationship. The UAE and other Gulf states are increasingly balancing military preparedness with diplomatic engagement. Iran remains a central …
Read More »AFTER The Midterms: IS American Foreign Policy Entering An Era Of Constraint?
Dr. Shehab Al-Makahleh Key points The Democratic victory in both chambers of Congress represents a significant political setback for Donald Trump. Congressional opposition will increase scrutiny of military spending, foreign commitments and executive decisions. The president nevertheless retains considerable constitutional authority over foreign policy and military operations. Allies …
Read More »The World Beyond Washington: The New Geopolitics of Uncertainty
Key points American political division creates uncertainty well beyond the transatlantic alliance. The Indo-Pacific, Red Sea and Sahel are becoming increasingly interconnected strategic theatres. Russia, China, Türkiye and Gulf states are expanding their diplomatic and economic roles. Regional powers will seek greater autonomy rather than exclusive dependence on …
Read More »Ukraine, Russia and Europe: The Future of The Transatlantic Alliance
Key points The Democratic congressional victory could strengthen support for Ukraine, but does not guarantee new military assistance. Washington is pursuing negotiations while the battlefield remains active. Europe must have a stronger role in security guarantees and reconstruction. Russia may seek to exploit differences between Washington and European …
Read More »China’s Strategic Opportunity: Navigating A Divided America
Key points The American election changes the political environment, not the underlying strategic competition. Taiwan remains the most dangerous test of deterrence. Trade, artificial intelligence and critical minerals will remain contested. Beijing’s diplomatic opportunities are real, but so are the limits of its influence. Beijing’s opportunity is also …
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