Analysis

Dr. Pierre Thévenin Key Takeaways US-Iran Deal May Undermine Freedom of Navigation — The Islamabad Memorandum’s wording (especially Paragraph 5) could allow Iran to impose tolls or restrictions on shipping through the Strait of Hormuz after the 60-day period, violating the non-suspendable innocent passage regime under international law. Broader …

Collins Chong Yew Keat Key Takeaways Strategic Deepening of Ties — The Nikkei Forum and related engagements underscore Malaysia’s growing role as a key partner for Japan in semiconductors, energy (LNG), AI, critical minerals, and supply-chain resilience. This moves the relationship beyond the traditional “Look East Policy” toward high-value …

Dr. Ju Hyung Kim The United Arab Emirates’ move to revive the acquisition and local production of South Korea’s K9 self-propelled howitzer is more than a conventional arms deal. This reflects a broader shift in Gulf security thinking amid the ongoing Iranian war. For years, military modernization in …

Willy Fautre Saudi Arabia’s Yemen policy master, Riyadh’s ambassador Mohammed al-Jaber, believes in stick-and-carrot diplomacy—he shows the stick to Yemen’s dissenters and the carrot to Europe’s defense ministries. And it’s a contradiction that now runs straight through Europe’s own legal order. Al‑Jaber is no ordinary envoy. Since 2014 …

“The Russia–Ukraine War has now exceeded the duration of the First World War, yet Russia is short of achieving its original political objectives, and Ukraine, supported by NATO, hasn’t given up.” This prolonged contest of wills has morphed into a grinding, industrial-age war of attrition fought with twenty-first-century …

Sana Khan This week, Washington faced a choice that it will face repeatedly until it finally makes it explicit. On Monday, the Trump administration demanded NATO increase defense spending. On Wednesday, Chinese military exercises around Taiwan escalated. On Friday, tensions spiked in the Middle East over Iranian oil …

Until not so long ago Latin America had been considered a quiet region, located far from the world’s superpower main strategic confrontations, with sporadic but crucial moments that helped to shape the international order as we know it today. The Cuban Missile Crisis is the clearest example: it …

The ongoing war in Iran has caused the largest oil supply shock in history, resulting in daily production losses that are unprecedented. However, the oil crisis linked to the 1979 Iranian Revolution remains the largest when considering total cumulative supply loss. This situation has drawn comparisons to past …

Marta Rehnman After decades of a rule-based international order built on the principle ofnational sovereignty and territorial integrity and equal interactions based on  multilateralism, which emerged after two world wars driven by nationalist expansionism and imperial rivalries, a new era of geopolitics ruled by great powers who are …