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Geopolitics

America Must Turn Military Pressure into Diplomacy

President Donald Trump’s assurance that he will not use nuclear weapons against Iran should not be treated as restraint; it is the lowest possible bar in a crisis already overloaded with reckless language. His warning that the United States could “blow up” any Iranian weapons accumulated during the …

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Beyond the Battlefield: How the Iran War Is Reshaping Middle Eastern Alliances

Dr. Shehab Al-Makahleh For decades, the Middle East operated under a simple—if uneasy—assumption: proximity to the United States meant protection. That assumption has now been shaken. The recent U.S.–Israeli confrontation with Iran did not merely redraw military lines; it exposed a deeper fracture—the erosion of trust between Washington …

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Political deadlock has left Iraq’s Kurdistan Region dangerously exposed amid Iran war

Winthrop M. Rodgers The stalemate over government formation is affecting the semi-autonomous region’s ability to deal with the fallout of the Iran war – and eroding its autonomy. More than 18 months have passed since voters in the semi-autonomous Kurdistan Region of Iraq went to the polls in …

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Mali attacks show security cannot be delivered by military means alone

The latest attacks, following months of JNIM raids on Mali’s vital fuel supplies, show the need for negotiation at a regional, national and local level. Jihadist and Tuareg separatist militants launched a sequence of shocking attacks across Mali on 25-26 April. The unprecedented scale, geographical spread and levels …

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The U.A.E.’s OPEC Bombshell Signals a New Middle East Order

By Dov Lieber, Jared Malsin and Summer Said After bearing the brunt of Iran’s counterattack, the financial powerhouse is strengthening security cooperation with Israel and widening a rift with Saudi Arabia The new alignment is redrawing political fault lines between the Arab world and Israel that defined the …

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Welcome to Trumpington

Ryan O’Connell Tributes to Donald Trump’s presumed greatness adorn government buildings and parks in the heart of the U.S. capital. Big Donald is looking at you  Like other autocrats, Trump has had huge banners of himself hung on government buildings. The U.S. Department of Justice on Pennsylvania Avenue …

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What Orban’s Defeat Tells Us About Erdogan’s Future

Ezgi Başaran Many celebrated Hungary’s strongman Vikt Orbán’s fall via electoral defeat at the beginning of April.  What does his fall possibly portend for his fellow autocrat Recep Tayyib Erdogan’s political future in Turkey? Two cases of competitive authoritarianism After all, the authoritarian styles of Orbán and Erdoğan …

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The Age of Strategic Loneliness: Trump, Arms Races, and the End of Illusions

Dr. Shehab Al-Makahleh The Collapse of the Illusion: When Empires Whisper “You’re On Your Own” History rarely announces its turning points with fanfare; it prefers irony. The return of Donald Trump to the White House did not begin a new era—it exposed the fragility of the old one. For decades, …

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Political Islam Without Borders: A Strategic Challenge for the United Kingdom

Dimitra Staikou In an era defined by volatility, the United Kingdom is confronting a reality it can no longer afford to misunderstand. What appears on the surface as a migration challenge or a series of isolated security concerns is, in fact, something far more structural: the convergence of …

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