Mohammad Nosseir A conflict that has lasted nearly eight decades may require an approach different from the recurring cycles of war that all parties have pursued. The war in Gaza following the October 7 attack demonstrated that making life unbearable for Gaza’s civilians will not end this long-standing …
Read More »A defining week in Africa: between moral voice, political tensions, and economic reality
Sibgha Hadi Africa has shown itself in the past week again as a continent of dramatic contrasts, in which moral leadership, political turmoil, and financial aspiration come into collision in a manner that would not only chart its own future but also that of the world. The continent …
Read More »Gulf Capital at the Crossroads: Sanctions, War and the Reconfiguration of Global Financial Power
Dr. Shehab Al-Makahleh In moments of systemic rupture—when geopolitics collides with capital flows—the illusion of a neutral global financial order dissolve. The Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) has long functioned as a pivotal stabiliser within that order, recycling hydrocarbon surpluses into global markets, particularly those of the United States. Yet the intensifying …
Read More »When Hormuz Chokes, the World Goes Hungry
Rafaeil Christiano The world is fixated on oil prices again. Tankers, benchmarks, and barrels dominate the headlines. But this time, the real shock is not only flowing through energy markets—it is quietly seeping into the soil. What is at stake in the Strait of Hormuz is not just …
Read More »Rivalry at a Chokepoint: China and the U.S. Clash in the Strait of Hormuz
Dr. Nadya Helmi China’s entry into the tensions surrounding the Strait of Hormuz in April 2026 was no longer merely cautious diplomacy or statements of condemnation but rather a direct strategic intervention to protect its vital economic interests. This signals the beginning of a larger, but risky, political …
Read More »The Gulf Is No Longer a Crisis Zone—It Is the Fault Line of a Fragmenting World
At first glance, the latest escalation involving Iran in the Gulf may appear to be yet another familiar cycle of regional instability. But that reading is dangerously outdated. What we are witnessing today is not a temporary disruption—it is a structural rupture in the global system. The Gulf …
Read More »From one energy crisis to another: Europe’s dependence problem
Alexandre Loerke The latest energy crisis stemming from the war in Iran and the ensuing closure of the strait of Hormuz is shining a light on a major challenge to EU strategic autonomy: Europe remains largely dependent on fossil fuel imports for its energy. The full-scale invasion of …
Read More »The Diplomacy Trap: When Time Becomes a Weapon and Negotiations Become War by Other Means
Dr. Shehab Al-Makahleh There comes a moment in every geopolitical crisis when diplomacy ceases to be a pathway to resolution and becomes, instead, an instrument of entrapment. That moment has arrived. What we are witnessing is not the breakdown of negotiations—it is their transformation into a mechanism of …
Read More »Iran war fallout puts Sudan’s Burhan in a deeper bind
Carla Davies Sudan’s self-appointed leader Abdel Fattah al-Burhan is finding that his co-dependent relationship with the country’s Islamist-Muslim Brotherhood elite is beginning to run interference on his relations with the Gulf States and his ability to restock his arsenal. He is, as Africa Intelligence recently reported, struggling to …
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