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When a Signal Becomes a Verdict: Jordan, Syria, and the Dangerous Seduction of Partial Intelligence

Dr. Shehab Al-Makahleh   The attack on St. George’s Greek Orthodox Church in Hammoud last October was an atrocity that demands justice, not shortcuts. Nine worshippers killed during a funeral. Dozens wounded. A community shattered. Jordan has every right—and every obligation—to pursue those responsible with the full weight …

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The Spreading Ebola Crisis

Dan Steinbock        The Ebola crisis in Central Africa has crossed another dangerous threshold. What began as an outbreak in DR Congo has spread across national borders, exposed weaknesses in international preparedness, and the management of emergency assistance. On October 20, Nigeria confirmed an imported case in Abuja. …

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From Bilateral Understanding to Regional Dispute: Turkey’s Expanding Maritime Ambitions in the Eastern Mediterranean

 Cynthia Jacobs The Eastern Mediterranean is becoming an increasingly important arena in the contest over maritime boundaries, energy security and regional influence. Turkey’s growing naval presence and its strategic partnership with Libya have strengthened Ankara’s position in this competition, giving it additional leverage over future gas projects, undersea …

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The Human Microbiome as a New Frontier of Warfare: When Biology Becomes a Strategic Weapon

Alexis Nexus The next frontier of military competition may not be found only in hypersonic missiles, autonomous drones or artificial intelligence. It may lie within the human body itself—in the vast microbial ecosystem that helps regulate digestion, immunity and metabolism. As synthetic biology advances, researchers are exploring ways …

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From Mecca to Tehran: Can Regional Diplomacy Stop the Middle East from Sliding into Another War?

Maysa Al-Rifai The meeting in Tehran between senior officials from Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, Pakistan and Iran was more than another security gathering in a region accustomed to managing crises on the brink of disaster. Its significance lies in a strategic paradox: the three countries that signed the Mecca …

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“Anatomy of expansion”: how the Turkish-Israeli rivalry became a fight over the shape of the region

When the intelligence academy of a leading regional power publishes a report called “The Anatomy of Israeli Expansionism”, the message goes beyond scholarship. Turkey’s National Intelligence Academy issued the report on October 23rd, according to Noon Post. Its central claim is that Israeli expansion is not a response …

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Iran and the Gulf: History’s Mistake, Geography’s Dilemma

There are moments when events move faster than politics can understand them. States then become prisoners of the images they built of their rivals, explaining the present with tools from the past, even after the balance of power has shifted and the map has been redrawn. Few relationships …

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The Race for Data: Data Globalization in the Face of Digital Conflict

Dr. Nessrine Mesto-Assaad Imagine you are taking a picture in a small café in Egypt overlooking the Nile River. You keep the picture on your cloud server, and say to yourself, “I will not share it with anyone; I will keep it to myself.” This personal, spontaneous image …

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The Next Hostage Lies Beneath the Waves

For decades, the Strait of Hormuz has meant one thing: oil. Tehran is now pointing the world’s attention below the surface. On 21 October, a senior Revolutionary Guards general warned that Iran could target internet cables, including seven major cables running under the strait, if the United States …

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