Lama Al-Rakad The image was striking. In Washington, the leader of Syria’s transitional government, Ahmed al-Sharaa, was welcomed as a legitimate political actor after years in which he and his organization were synonymous with jihadist militancy. Whether viewed as diplomatic necessity or geopolitical pragmatism, the transformation raises one …
Read More »Pause, Not Peace: The Iran Ceasefire Framework
Dr. John Calabrase A tentative U.S.–Iran memorandum of understanding appeared close to completion in late May, but Iran’s decision to suspend indirect talks over Israel’s expanding operations in Lebanon has thrown the process into uncertainty. What had looked like an emerging framework now appears less a pathway to …
Read More »Thucydides Trap: Is it still relevant today?
For decades, geopolitical scholars have been concerned about a potential hot war between China (the “rising” power) and the US (the “ruling” power) because of the Thucydides Trap, which warns that conflict between the two will very likely occur when a rising power becomes strong enough to unseat the ruling …
Read More »The Politics of AI Surveillance: Who Controls the Digital State?
Since the public launch of large-language models like ChatGPT and OpenAI in 2020, Artificial Intelligence (AI) is gaining ground across a variety of private and public areas, the prospect of not only facilitating mundane tasks but also revolutionising labor markets, research, medicine and militaries. The gilded age of …
Read More »New Multipolar Economy: Questions for Russia and Eurasia
After the Soviet collapse, the republics have created the Eurasian Union with the primary aim of integrating their economies. Creating a common single currency, a common single market, and facilitating the free movement of citizens and goods. As a unique replica of the European Union, the Eurasian Union …
Read More »Why Syria is a strategic option in supply chains
Syria’s geography, through a network of international roads and land and sea crossings with connection distances of no more than 500 kilometers, condenses the equations of cost and time in favor of supply and logistics chains between Asia and Europe. This short land corridor directly links Mediterranean ports …
Read More »Global markets mixed due to geopolitical concerns following AI rally
Global markets are trading on a mixed trend on Tuesday following a rally led by tech and artificial intelligence (AI), as risks related to a potential reignition of the Iran war overshadowed Monday’s gains. Despite ongoing US-Iran negotiations, Tehran recently said it will suspend communications with Washington, protesting …
Read More »Israeli Nuclear Deterrence: Problems of Credibility
Prof. Louis René Beres “Deterrence is not just a matter of military capabilities. It has a great deal to do with perceptions of credibility.”-Herman Kahn, Thinking About the Unthinkable (1962) After its “Operation Roaring Lion” and America’s coinciding “Operation Epic Fury,” Israel’s presumptive nuclear weapons remain essential to …
Read More »China Tech Stocks Surge on AI Optimism Despite Middle East Risks
Technology stocks led a broad market rally across China and Hong Kong on Tuesday as investors poured into artificial intelligence related companies despite continuing uncertainty surrounding developments in the Middle East. The strongest gains came from major technology firms including Tencent and Meituan, helping push Hong Kong’s technology …
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