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Analysis

The Next Hostage Lies Beneath the Waves

For decades, the Strait of Hormuz has meant one thing: oil. Tehran is now pointing the world’s attention below the surface. On 21 October, a senior Revolutionary Guards general warned that Iran could target internet cables, including seven major cables running under the strait, if the United States …

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The War on Iran Could Produce the Opposite of What Washington and Tel Aviv Intended

Rania Al Horani The most consequential outcome of the US-Israeli war against Iran may not be decided on the battlefield. It may emerge instead from the diplomatic calculations of the Gulf states, which are increasingly confronted with a difficult question: is the greater threat to their security Iran …

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Jordan’s Test of Unity: The Attack in Karak and the Defence of National Cohesion

By Shehab Al-Makahleh The reported shooting attack in Jordan’s southern city of Karak has raised urgent questions about public security, religious coexistence and the resilience of the country’s social fabric. According to the initial report published by Rai Al-Youm on October 23, seven people were killed and dozens …

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The War in the Arab World: Caught Between Washington, Tehran and Tel Aviv

Amanda Lee The Middle East has entered a dangerous phase in which military superiority no longer guarantees political victory, alliances offer diminishing assurances of protection, and the costs of regional confrontation are increasingly borne by Arab societies. What began as an effort by Benjamin Netanyahu’s government to reshape …

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How Should the Arab World Respond to Israel’s New Security Doctrine?

Dr. Shehab Al-Makahleh On October 18, Benjamin Netanyahu unveiled the outlines of a new Israeli security doctrine built around military superiority, pre-emptive action and the principle of striking perceived threats before they mature. Five days later, an attack in Hebron that killed two Israeli soldiers and wounded three …

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The Will to Fight: What Military Power Cannot Guarantee

By Roya Bagher A proposal to forgive student debt in exchange for enlistment in a potential US ground force against Iran raises a fundamental question about the relationship between military power and public willingness to fight. If such a proposal gains traction, it would suggest that the challenge …

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Will Netanyahu Open a New Front Against Iran?

With just five days remaining before Israel’s October 27 election, speculation is mounting over whether Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu could launch another military confrontation with Iran. Amid stalled negotiations, heightened military activity and competing political pressures in Washington and Jerusalem, the region faces a familiar but dangerous question: …

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A New Contest for Power in the Eastern Mediterranean

Libya’s eastern parliament has approved the 2019 maritime agreement with Turkey, marking a significant shift in the country’s fractured political landscape. The decision, adopted on October 20, 2026, reverses years of opposition by the eastern camp aligned with military commander Khalifa Haftar and opens a new chapter in …

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Trump Administration’s Assumptions About Iran Are Dangerous, and Persisting in Repeating Them Will Lead to Countless Consequences

The Financial Times has published an article by Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi in which he warned of the dangers of false assumptions about Iran. He stressed that progress would only be possible if the United States acknowledged that there is no military solution to the current situation. …

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