By Dan Steinbock Renewed U.S.-Iran hostilities and Israel’s continuing military campaigns reflect rising risks of a wider Middle East conflict and elevated energy and food crises internationally. The United States and Iran traded new attacks overnight into Thursday, intensifying an exchange that has threatened the collapse of their agreement …
Read More »The Iranian Question: Why “Permanent Solutions” Fail
Dr. Yashwant Singh Few phrases in statecraft are as seductive, and as historically unreliable, as the “permanent solution.” The term promises finality in a domain built on its absence: states adapt, ideologies mutate, and alliances presumed eternal dissolve within a generation. Four decades of policy toward the Islamic …
Read More »NATO’s New Center of Gravity? Turkey, Britain, and the Reordering of the Euro-Atlantic Alliance
Hadi Elis The 2026 NATO Summit may ultimately be remembered not for its official communiqués, but for the questions it raised about the future direction of the Alliance. Beneath the familiar language of transatlantic solidarity, collective defense, and support for Ukraine, a more profound geopolitical shift appears to …
Read More »What It Means for China and the Future of AI?
Dr.Nadya Hilmi UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres , Thailand Prime Minister Anutin Charnvirakul, Chinese President Xi Jinping and Pakistan Deputy Prime Minister Mohammad Ishaq Dar arrive for a group photo before the opening ceremony for the World AI Conference in Shanghai, China, July 17, 2026. Ng Han Guan/Pool via …
Read More »Washington and Tehran Now Agree that Sea is Billable
On July 14 the crews of the Mombasa and the Al Bahiyah found out. Two UAE-flagged tankers were hit by Iranian cruise missiles in the southern lane, inside Omani territorial waters, according to the Emirati defense ministry. An Indian sailor was killed and eight others were hurt, six …
Read More »Can Pakistan Match India’s Most Dangerous New Nuclear Capability?
India has quietly crossed a threshold that Pakistan has no answer to —for the first time in the history of South Asian nuclear competition, one side may have nuclear warheads at sea, and the other has neither a submarine capable of carrying them nor a realistic timeline for …
Read More »Why US Middle East Policy Keeps Failing, From Iraq to Iran
Owen Kirby The Middle East – for many Western observers – is something akin to Long Covid. One day you believe you are through the worst of it, turning a corner, and the next you are back reliving all the headaches, fatigue and brain fog, short of breath …
Read More »Is a Turkey–Israel War Actually Coming?
In March, Israeli F-35s struck three sites in central Syria that Turkish planners had quietly earmarked for a future airbase. No Turkish soldier had set foot there yet — Ankara had not finished the paperwork. But the message needed no translation: Israel would rather bomb a location pre-emptively …
Read More »Renewed Gulf Hostilities, Elevated Regional and Global Uncertainty
Dr. Dan Steinbock The United States and Iran traded new attacks overnight into Thursday, intensifying an exchange that has threatened the collapse of their agreement to end the war. According to President Trump, the ceasefire between the United States, Israel and Iran was “over.” The deadly exchanges included …
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