Alice Johnson The choice of military escalation in the conflict with Iran is an important juncture in modern geopolitics. However, while the conflict is justified in the context of demonstrating power and deterring future threats, early evidence suggests that the long-term implications may differ significantly from the initial …
Read More »Al-Makahleh: Strategic Irrationality and the Escalation Trap: U.S.–Israel–Iran Conflict
Dr. Shehab Al-Makahleh I. Introduction: War Beyond Reason In the evolving landscape of great power competition and regional conflict, few phenomena are as destabilizing as the gradual erosion of strategic rationality. What begins as a calculated intervention, framed within the lexicon of deterrence and preemption, can rapidly devolve …
Read More »Why the U.S. Must Focus on Iran End-of-War Scenarios
Alon ben Meir Three weeks into launching the war of choice with Iran, the Trump administration still has no plausible exit strategy. Four scenarios Several scenarios are being debated: First, a prolonged air and naval campaign ending in a unilateral U.S. declaration of “victory”. Second, a ceasefire mediated …
Read More »Chokepoint Wars: How the Strait of Hormuz Crisis Is Reshaping Global Energy Security
The modern international system is no longer characterized by the conflicts based on the territorial boundaries but the tensions concerning the strategic routes that support the global economy. Among them, there is a revival of maritime chokepoints as an essential arena of power rivalry. The more recent uproar …
Read More »Riyadh Takes the Helm: Can Arab Diplomacy Contain the Iran War?
Saudi Arabia has positioned itself at the center of regional diplomacy as it hosts a high-level consultative meeting of foreign ministers from across the Arab and Islamic world in Riyadh. The aim is clear: to address the growing instability unleashed by the ongoing conflict with Iran—a war that …
Read More »Polls shows the US is divided on the Iran War but united on its goals
Douglas E. Schoen and Carly Cooperman Two weeks into the U.S.-Israeli campaign against Iran, Americans are divided on the military operation itself, yet far more united about the threat Iran poses and the goals of the war. That is the central finding from new polling conducted by our firm, Schoen Cooperman Research …
Read More »Arab Political Thought and Its Sterility in Understanding the Indo-Israeli Alliance
By Eng. Saleem Al-Batayneh The words of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu during the reception of Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi last February were far more than a ceremonial speech. They constituted a dense ideological statement, revealing the contours of a hardline nationalist alliance built on the intersection …
Read More »Finish the Job, Mr. President
Fourteen days into Operation Epic Fury, the most consequential American military campaign in the Middle East since the invasion of Iraq, the Trump administration has yet to say what victory will actually look like. The president has variously toggled between declaring Iran has “practically nothing left,” indicating that …
Read More »New beginnings: Moldova withdraws from the CIS
The Republic of Moldova announced in early March that the process to withdraw from the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS) is moving forward. The decision to leave this bloc highlights Moldova’s foreign policy strategy of reducing ties with Russia while increasing engagement with European organizations. The CIS: A …
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