February 4, 2024
Americas, Analysis, Geopolitics, Middle East, Military & Security, NEWS, Op-ed, OPINION, Terrorism & Extremism
America might be overextended in the region, and Iran might not be able to control its proxies. That’s a recipe for a wider conflict. Can two nations that don’t really want a full-scale war — in fact believe it could be disastrous — find themselves slip-sliding toward one …
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February 4, 2024
Analysis, Economics, Europe, NEWS, Op-ed, OPINION
Farmers’ protests have already caused disruptions in France, Germany, Italy, Belgium, Poland, Romania and the Netherlands. Europe has experienced an explosion of protests for weeks now by farmers against what they say is excessive red tape, high fuel costs and unfair competition coming from the EU’s liberal trade …
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February 4, 2024
Analysis, Asia Pacific, Geopolitics, Military & Security, NEWS, Op-ed, OPINION
The United States should try to mitigate Seoul’s offensive impulses, calm Pyongyang, and take steps to bring back dialogue and negotiation. The security situation in the Korean peninsula is going from bad to worse. Bellicose words dominate over words of peace. Changes in military doctrine and posture have …
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February 4, 2024
Americas, Analysis, Geopolitics, Middle East, Military & Security, NEWS, Op-ed, OPINION, Terrorism & Extremism
Time is quickly running out to prevent further carnage in Gaza and a region-wide war, the ramifications of which will plague the Middle East and undermine U.S. interests for generations. This past weekend, three U.S. service members were killed in Jordan following a drone strike by Iran-backed militias …
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January 31, 2024
Americas, Analysis, Asia Pacific, Economics, Europe, Geopolitics, Middle East, Military & Security, NEWS, Op-ed, OPINION, Society
Given their poor forecasting track record, the economic profession could benefit from a dose of humility. Wall Street traders are fond of saying that the consensus economic view is seldom proved correct. Today’s stronger-than-expected GDP numbers and inflation’s welcome deceleration offer yet another example of where the consensus …
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January 31, 2024
Analysis, Geopolitics, Middle East, Military & Security, NEWS, Op-ed, OPINION
Jerusalem faces a potential two-front war in Gaza and Lebanon amid a widening proxy conflict engulfing the Middle East. Israel’s Minister of Defense Yoav Gallant met with members of the Israeli Artillery Corps near the Gaza border on Monday, January 29. He shared coffee with them, brewed in …
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January 31, 2024
Analysis, Geopolitics, Middle East, Military & Security, NEWS, Op-ed, OPINION
The impact of generative AI on Asian deterrence is not well understood and may create greater risks of conflict. A deterrence strategy depends on adversaries’ perceptions of both capabilities and intentions. Today, large language models and other fast-evolving forms of generative AI could change those perceptions in ways …
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January 31, 2024
Analysis, Geopolitics, Middle East, Military & Security, NEWS, Op-ed, OPINION
The notion of Iran as a prime mover—the initiator of regional evil—is just as misleading as it was with the USSR during the Cold War. The U.S.-Soviet Cold War, now more than three decades in the past, is generally considered a “win” for the United States. But even …
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January 31, 2024
Americas, Analysis, Economics, NEWS, Op-ed, OPINION
America’s national debt is too high. The deficit is too big. Economic growth is too slow. Those are the symptoms. The problem—it is worth repeating—is spending. The problem is spending. The problem is spending. The debt is too high. The deficit is too big. Economic growth is too …
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