Last week, the Pentagon disclosed that the US-led military manufacturing partnership (PIPIR) is assessing funding for a major new ammunition assembly and production line in the Philippines. Under its ultra-conservative PM Sanae Takaichi, Japan is taking the lead to set up a new program to produce propulsion systems …
Read More »Not Chaos but Grand Strategic Design: The Hidden Logic Behind Washington’s Recent Moves
Athaniasios Patias Most analyses of recent American actions—from Venezuela to Iran—start from the same premise: that US policy has become erratic, reactive, and overly dependent on the instincts of President Donald Trump. This reading is intuitively appealing and strategically misleading. What appears as fragmentation is, on closer inspection, …
Read More »Iran war sharpens Trump’s 2028 choice: Vance or Rubio?
As the war in Iran impacts President Donald Trump’s legacy, Political tensions rise for Vice President JD Vance and Secretary of State Marco Rubio, both seen as potential successors to Trump. They are involved in negotiations to help end the war while the Republican Party considers its future …
Read More »The WTO e-commerce moratorium: What it is and why it matters
The WTO’s Digital Crossroads: Why a Permanent E‑Commerce Moratorium Would Be a Mistake For nearly three decades, a quiet but crucial agreement has underpinned the explosive growth of global digital trade. The WTO’s moratorium on customs duties for electronic transmissions—first struck in 1998 when the internet was still …
Read More »The Strait of Hormuz as the New Suez Moment
Lexy Reid 20% of the world’s oil passes through the Strait of Hormuz, a small chokepoint whose use is now being massively disrupted by war, drone strikes and the competing interests of great powers. The current Iran War has transformed the Strait of Hormuz from a potential risk …
Read More »The Fragility of Short-Term Gains: Russia, Local Populations, and Strategic Dynamics in the Eastern Mediterranean
Lama Al-Rakad Russia’s recent strategic moves in the Eastern Mediterranean, particularly in coastal areas, highlight a recurring pattern in geopolitics: powers that neglect to empower local populations often achieve only temporary gains. Using George Friedman’s analytical framework, this article examines how Russia’s reliance on direct military and economic …
Read More »The Delayed US-China Summit Is Another Cost of the Iran War
Lyle J. Goldstein The Iran War is distracting the United States from the most pressing issues facing the global order, namely, US-China relations. The costs to the United States of President Donald Trump’s war against Iran are growing both in blood and treasure. The Strait of Hormuz is …
Read More »Pezeshkian’s UN Message: Iran Will Talk, But It Will Not Surrender
Masoud Pezeshkian’s address to the United Nations General Assembly came at a moment when the space between diplomacy and war has become increasingly difficult to define. Just one day after Donald Trump used the same international stage to warn Iran of potentially devastating consequences, the Iranian president stood …
Read More »G7 to Press U.S. on Russian Support for Iran Amid Middle East War
Since late February, the United States and Israel have conducted strikes on Iranian targets after nuclear talks failed, triggering Iranian retaliatory attacks on Israel, U.S. bases, and Gulf states. These strikes have also disrupted fuel exports through the Strait of Hormuz, sending energy prices soaring and creating instability …
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