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Terrorism & Extremism

The War in Iran is not the next World War: How multipolarity is changing the logic of escalation

Raphael Dosson The Iranian conflict is falling, predictably, into the escalation trap—from what began as a vertically limited, regime-targeting air campaign to a horizontally expanding regional war, with the potential to become one of the most consequential geostrategic crises of the century, carrying far-reaching implications for the global …

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Iran war sharpens Trump’s 2028 choice: Vance or Rubio?

As the war in Iran impacts President Donald Trump’s legacy, Political tensions rise for Vice President JD Vance and Secretary of State Marco Rubio, both seen as potential successors to Trump. They are involved in negotiations to help end the war while the Republican Party considers its future …

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The Strait of Hormuz as the New Suez Moment

Lexy Reid 20% of the world’s oil passes through the Strait of Hormuz, a small chokepoint whose use is now being massively disrupted by war, drone strikes and the competing interests of great powers. The current Iran War has transformed the Strait of Hormuz from a potential risk …

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The Fragility of Short-Term Gains: Russia, Local Populations, and Strategic Dynamics in the Eastern Mediterranean

Lama Al-Rakad Russia’s recent strategic moves in the Eastern Mediterranean, particularly in coastal areas, highlight a recurring pattern in geopolitics: powers that neglect to empower local populations often achieve only temporary gains. Using George Friedman’s analytical framework, this article examines how Russia’s reliance on direct military and economic …

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The Delayed US-China Summit Is Another Cost of the Iran War

Lyle J. Goldstein The Iran War is distracting the United States from the most pressing issues facing the global order, namely, US-China relations. The costs to the United States of President Donald Trump’s war against Iran are growing both in blood and treasure. The Strait of Hormuz is …

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Pezeshkian’s UN Message: Iran Will Talk, But It Will Not Surrender

Masoud Pezeshkian’s address to the United Nations General Assembly came at a moment when the space between diplomacy and war has become increasingly difficult to define. Just one day after Donald Trump used the same international stage to warn Iran of potentially devastating consequences, the Iranian president stood …

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G7 to Press U.S. on Russian Support for Iran Amid Middle East War

Since late February, the United States and Israel have conducted strikes on Iranian targets after nuclear talks failed, triggering Iranian retaliatory attacks on Israel, U.S. bases, and Gulf states. These strikes have also disrupted fuel exports through the Strait of Hormuz, sending energy prices soaring and creating instability …

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Why South Korean Missile Defense Systems Could Become Essential for Middle Eastern Security

 Dr. Ju Hyung Kim  Iran’s large-scale missile and drone attack against its neighboring countries exposed a critical vulnerability in modern warfare: even advanced missile defense systems can run out of interceptors faster than they can be replenished. In contemporary conflicts, the decisive factor might be which side runs …

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Al-Makahleh: Strategic Irrationality and the Escalation Trap: U.S.–Israel–Iran Conflict

Dr. Shehab Al-Makahleh I. Introduction: War Beyond Reason In the evolving landscape of great power competition and regional conflict, few phenomena are as destabilizing as the gradual erosion of strategic rationality. What begins as a calculated intervention, framed within the lexicon of deterrence and preemption, can rapidly devolve …

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