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Military & Security

US-Iran War Losses Still Trail the 1979 Oil Shock in Total Economic Impact

The ongoing war in Iran has caused the largest oil supply shock in history, resulting in daily production losses that are unprecedented. However, the oil crisis linked to the 1979 Iranian Revolution remains the largest when considering total cumulative supply loss. This situation has drawn comparisons to past …

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The Return of Great-Power Spheres of Influence

Marta Rehnman After decades of a rule-based international order built on the principle ofnational sovereignty and territorial integrity and equal interactions based on  multilateralism, which emerged after two world wars driven by nationalist expansionism and imperial rivalries, a new era of geopolitics ruled by great powers who are …

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The Race for Data: Syria’s Offshore Gas- The Strategic Importance of the Levant Basin in the Digital Conflict

Dr. Nessrine Mesto-Assaad With the emergence of the importance of Artificial Intelligence (AI) and the efforts of global capital and recently major countries to build hyperscale data centers around the world, natural gas has become a key fuel for powering data centers and enabling AI servers to process …

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JD Vance for president in 2028? It starts with MAGA voters — and Trump

Vance’s role as the Republican National Committee’s chief fundraiser has helped him get in front of another key constituency – donors – and made him the face of midterm campaigning. But Rubio has run for president once before, has a longer track record with donors and has more …

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Assessing the Global Impact of the U.S.-Iran Deal

Holger Schmieding In their framework agreement (to be signed on Friday), Iran and the United States have apparently left some key issues unresolved. Lots of open issues Examples seem to include the dilution or disposal of Iran’s highly enriched uranium, the Israel/Lebanon issue, some details of long-term sanctions …

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The Globalization of Hamas Under Turkey’s Patronage

 Hadi Elis Over the past two decades, Hamas has evolved from a predominantly localized Palestinian militant movement into a transnational organization with extensive political, financial, and operational networks spanning multiple continents. This transformation has not occurred in isolation. Rather, it has been facilitated by a combination of state …

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Is the Strait of Hormuz reopening driving a tanker market recovery?

The partial reopening of the Strait of Hormuz is beginning to reshape global oil shipping, with tanker owners and charterers repositioning vessels in anticipation of a sustained recovery in Gulf exports. Although the strategic waterway remains only partially navigable and subject to heightened security risks, shipping data, vessel …

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America at 250: Can a Divided Nation Celebrate Together?

Betsy Halsey, a 63-year-old retired teacher from Doylestown, Pennsylvania, has memorabilia from America’s 1976 bicentennial, but she refuses to celebrate the upcoming 250th anniversary due to her discontent with President Donald Trump. In contrast, Dan Marrazzo, a 70-year-old Republican laundromat owner from nearby Langhorne Manor, is excited to …

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The Multipolar Moment: Why Declining Hegemony Doesn’t Guarantee a Better World

Ibrahim Ahmad The international order is falling apart, happening visibly, rapidly, and in ways that no longer surprise even the most committed defenders of the post-1945 liberal framework. The United Nations Security Council has not been able to do anything about the problems in Gaza and Ukraine. The …

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