David M. Hart Instead of being a story of evolution and technological development, the story of China and EVs is one of “involution.” The Chinese economy suffers from an excess of competition. Too many products are chasing too few buyers, which is a recipe for plunging prices and …
Read More »The Value of Ceasefires
Paul R. Pillar Even if they don’t solve the fundamental issues of a conflict, ceasefires are still preferable to continuing carnage. Ceasefires—the stopping of a war without full resolution of the underlying political issues—have not been in vogue lately. A recent feature article in The New York Times …
Read More »How to Understand Trump’s Russia Strategy
A. Wess Mitchell Diplomacy with Russia is not capitulation, and talking to Vladimir Putin is not a reward for good behavior. The recent hardening of Russian president Vladimir Putin’s position on Ukraine has led some critics to claim that the Trump meeting in Anchorage was a waste of …
Read More »Mapping the Russia-Ukraine War Endgame
Graham Alison Ukraine faces a difficult choice: end the war and risk conceding territory or fight on and absorb more material, manpower, and territorial losses. Ukrainian president Zelensky brought a map of Ukraine to his meeting with President Trump last week. But he need not have bothered. When …
Read More »Weaponization of Rare Earths: A New Theatre in US-China Competition
Resource competition has intensified between the two great powers, the US and China, due to trade and tariff wars. Recently, both the countries have made major policy shifts in the strategically significant rare earth sector. China discreetly issued 2025 rare earth mining and smelting quotas to its state-owned …
Read More »What Would Security Guarantees in Ukraine Look Like?
In the August 18 meeting between European leaders, Ukraine, and the United States, multiple officials stressed the importance of security guarantees for Ukraine that were Article V–like. These guarantees, especially in the absence of a ceasefire to support negotiations, would need to include foreign troops and monitors on …
Read More »Trump, Peacemaker or Dealmaker? Alaska Will Tell
For all the controversy that trails him, Donald Trump has a record of inserting himself into geopolitical standoffs and sometimes lowering the temperature. During his first term, he broke decades of taboo by meeting Kim Jong Un in Singapore in 2018 and again at the DMZ in 2019, …
Read More »Lithuania considers phasing out Russian as 2nd foreign language in schools by 2026
Lithuania may remove Russian as a second foreign language in schools by 2026, citing changing student preferences and rising geopolitical concerns, a minister said. Vice Education, Science and Sport Minister Jonas Petkevicius said Wednesday that consultations will begin with the Seimas Education and Science Committee, as well as …
Read More »Crises of Credibility: The NATO’s 5% Gamble and the Fragile Rules-based World Order
Abdul Haq In a historic decision that reflected worries about a more unstable world, leaders of NATO decided to increase defense spending commitments to 5% of GDP by 2035 at the June 2025 summit. In a time of ‘global competition,’ NATO Secretary-General Mark Rutte emphasized that ‘Europe and …
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