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Asia Pacific

The Geopolitics of Critical Minerals: Competition for Resources in the Green Energy Transition

Khizar Hayat “Rejoice! For by God, they have handed their land over to us.” And then the world saw how the Arab Commander turned a basket of intended humiliation into the very omen that brought the Great Persian Empire crashing down. Sometimes, in arrogance or in folly, we …

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Pause, Not Peace: The Iran Ceasefire Framework

Dr. John Calabrase A tentative U.S.–Iran memorandum of understanding appeared close to completion in late May, but Iran’s decision to suspend indirect talks over Israel’s expanding operations in Lebanon has thrown the process into uncertainty. What had looked like an emerging framework now appears less a pathway to …

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Thucydides Trap: Is it still relevant today?

For decades, geopolitical scholars have been concerned about a potential hot war between China (the “rising” power) and the US (the “ruling” power) because of the Thucydides Trap, which warns that conflict between the two will very likely occur when a rising power becomes strong enough to unseat the ruling …

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The Politics of AI Surveillance: Who Controls the Digital State?

Since the public launch of large-language models like ChatGPT and OpenAI in 2020, Artificial Intelligence (AI) is gaining ground across a variety of private and public areas,  the prospect of not only facilitating mundane tasks but also revolutionising labor markets, research, medicine and militaries. The gilded age of …

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China’s military and intelligence views on Lebanon-Israel talks

China strongly condemns the Israeli airstrikes and ground incursion into southern Lebanon, describing these operations as a dangerous escalation that threatens the stability of the entire region. China demands that Israel immediately cease its military operations and fully withdraw its forces from Lebanese territory, warning of the dangers …

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Why Syria is a strategic option in supply chains

Syria’s geography, through a network of international roads and land and sea crossings with connection distances of no more than 500 kilometers, condenses the equations of cost and time in favor of supply and logistics chains between Asia and Europe. This short land corridor directly links Mediterranean ports …

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Global markets mixed due to geopolitical concerns following AI rally

Global markets are trading on a mixed trend on Tuesday following a rally led by tech and artificial intelligence (AI), as risks related to a potential reignition of the Iran war overshadowed Monday’s gains. Despite ongoing US-Iran negotiations, Tehran recently said it will suspend communications with Washington, protesting …

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Israeli Nuclear Deterrence: Problems of Credibility

Prof. Louis René Beres “Deterrence is not just a matter of military capabilities. It has a great deal to do with perceptions of credibility.”-Herman Kahn, Thinking About the Unthinkable (1962) After its “Operation Roaring Lion” and America’s coinciding “Operation Epic Fury,” Israel’s presumptive nuclear weapons remain essential to …

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China Tech Stocks Surge on AI Optimism Despite Middle East Risks

Technology stocks led a broad market rally across China and Hong Kong on Tuesday as investors poured into artificial intelligence related companies despite continuing uncertainty surrounding developments in the Middle East. The strongest gains came from major technology firms including Tencent and Meituan, helping push Hong Kong’s technology …

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