US President Donald Trump on Monday said negotiations with Iran to end joint US-Israeli strikes were progressing, but warned that the country’s crucial energy infrastructure would be destroyed if talks do not soon bear fruit. “If for any reason a deal is not shortly reached, which it probably …
Read More »The War in Iran is not the next World War: How multipolarity is changing the logic of escalation
Raphael Dosson The Iranian conflict is falling, predictably, into the escalation trap—from what began as a vertically limited, regime-targeting air campaign to a horizontally expanding regional war, with the potential to become one of the most consequential geostrategic crises of the century, carrying far-reaching implications for the global …
Read More »The West Waves the Welcome Flags for World’s Dirty Cash
Frank Vogl Just recently, a “bomb” exploded in downtown Frankfurt when it finally became apparent that the Hilton Hotel there is part of the overseas investment network of the Iranian regime. Booking.com has suspended the hotel from its reservation service on news that a major investor in the …
Read More »The Theatre of Power: A Machiavellian Reckoning in the Age of Strategic Delusion
Dr. Shehab Al-Makahleh There are moments in history when the stage is stripped bare, when the actors—once draped in grandeur—are revealed as mere performers reciting borrowed lines. The current war orbiting Iran, the United States, and Israel is one such moment: a geopolitical drama that would make Niccolò Machiavelli nod …
Read More »The U.S. Constitution as a Global Security Risk
Stephan Richter The U.S. Constitution has always been risky business for the U.S. political economy domestically insofar as it imposes 18th century values onto the 21st century. These features include its de facto unamendability, the disproportional weight it assigns to rural populations, its implicit dislike of any elements …
Read More »The Strait of Hormuz as the New Suez Moment
Lexy Reid 20% of the world’s oil passes through the Strait of Hormuz, a small chokepoint whose use is now being massively disrupted by war, drone strikes and the competing interests of great powers. The current Iran War has transformed the Strait of Hormuz from a potential risk …
Read More »The Fragility of Short-Term Gains: Russia, Local Populations, and Strategic Dynamics in the Eastern Mediterranean
Lama Al-Rakad Russia’s recent strategic moves in the Eastern Mediterranean, particularly in coastal areas, highlight a recurring pattern in geopolitics: powers that neglect to empower local populations often achieve only temporary gains. Using George Friedman’s analytical framework, this article examines how Russia’s reliance on direct military and economic …
Read More »The Delayed US-China Summit Is Another Cost of the Iran War
Lyle J. Goldstein The Iran War is distracting the United States from the most pressing issues facing the global order, namely, US-China relations. The costs to the United States of President Donald Trump’s war against Iran are growing both in blood and treasure. The Strait of Hormuz is …
Read More »The Narrow Path to a U.S.‑Iran Deal
Laurence Norman The prospects of a diplomatic deal ending the war between the U.S. and Iran look dim right now. But Middle East veterans say there is a pathway for an agreement if the two sides want to engage. Mediators from Turkey, Egypt and Pakistan are pushing for …
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