The first round of Trump tariffs, which still built on traditional trade wars, involved mainly Canada, Mexico and China. The second round began with “reciprocal tariffs”, which are unilateral, flawed as stated and wrongly calculated. This round covers most trading economies worldwide. But the trade wars will drastically …
Read More »Reforging Armenia: Crossroads to Clout
Armenia’s rugged terrain at the South Caucasus nexus — bridging Europe, Asia, and the Middle East — teeters between peril and promise. It straddles a hazardous crossroads of vital trade corridors, where it could emerge as a connector economy in a fracturing world of geo-economic blocs. Stability here …
Read More »De-Dollarization & BRICS: A New Global Power Shift?
In recent years, the term “de-dollarisation” or trade in non-dollar currencies instead of the US Dollar has begun to draw attention in discussions on international affairs. This has increased even more so after US President Donald Trump’s threats to countries pursuing ‘de-dollarisation’. Apart from warning countries against “de-dollarisation”, Trump …
Read More »The alternative of unrestricted Chinese trade to the wave of protectionism
Giancarlo Elia Valori At the end of last March, Xi Jinping warmly welcomed the arrival of representatives from the international business community and expressed appreciation for their long-term commitment to cooperation with China. Xi Jinping emphasized that in the 70 years since the founding of the People’s Republic …
Read More »U.S. Security Dilemma amid China’s Military Resurgence
On December 26, 2024, the world was surprised by the appearance of an airshow of a Chinese fighter jet, which is allegedly a prototype of China’s sixth-generation fighter jet. This sparked concern for the United States because the United States had previously predicted that China would still need …
Read More »Artificial Intelligence, China, and America’s Next Industrial Revolution
China’s approach to Artificial Intelligence offers American policymakers many valuable lessons. The United States has faced defining moments before, such as two world wars, a cold war, economic stagnation in the 1970s, the rise of Japan in the 1980s, and the aftermath of 9/11. But today’s competition with …
Read More »An America First Approach to Syria
We should accept that we cannot solve Syria’s problems, at least not right now, and so should not waste precious time and resources on local politics. America has struggled since President Obama to get Syria policy right, largely because of being overwhelmed by a long list of critical …
Read More »Is TikTok Working Against China’s Interests?
The China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC), a $65 billion flagship initiative under China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), is more than an infrastructure project—it is a geopolitical linchpin for Beijing’s ambitions in South Asia and beyond. Yet, this strategic endeavor faces a paradoxical threat: The Baloch Liberation Army (BLA), …
Read More »Power at the Brink: Looming Leadership Crises in China and Russia
In recent decades, both Russia and China have increasingly concentrated power in the hands of their respective leaders — Vladimir Putin in Russia and Xi Jinping in China. However, this centralization has come at the expense of institutionalized mechanisms that previously regulated leadership transitions. And this creates risks …
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