Zunaira Sarfraz On 23 March 2026, US President Donald Trump posted on a social media platform, Truth Social, that Washington and Tehran were engaged in productive negotiations. Within an hour, oil prices fell by nearly 11 percent. Iran’s Foreign Ministry immediately denied the claim, but the denial proved …
Read More »The Case Against False Symmetry
Brahma Chellaney’s recent essay in The Hill raises a legitimate and important concern. The United States applies nuclear non-proliferation norms with troubling inconsistency. On this narrow point, many scholars of arms control would agree. Yet the argument he constructs to make that case rests on a series of …
Read More »Can Trump Turn a Costly War into a Defining Peace with Iran?
Peter Rodgers In U.S.–Iran relations, there has been no shortage of “critical moments.” Yet what is unfolding today is of a different nature. Not simply because a 40-day war has taken place between the two sides but because, for the first time, military instruments and a diplomatic opening …
Read More »Why Has the United States Chosen a Long-Term Weakening Strategy Toward Regime Change in Iran?
Hadi Elis For decades, debate has persisted over whether the United States is prepared—or even willing—to pursue regime change in Iran. Yet beneath the surface of military rhetoric and diplomatic posturing lies a more subtle reality: Washington has increasingly favored a long-term strategy of systemic weakening rather than …
Read More »How China Is Positioning Itself Ahead of the Trump–Xi Summit
Dr. John Calabrese Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi has just concluded a two-day visit (April 9–10) to North Korea, in his first trip to Pyongyang in more than six years. The visit emphasized strengthening high-level exchanges and expanding practical cooperation. With U.S. President Donald Trump set to arrive …
Read More »Nuclear Deterrence Double Standards: When “Security” Is Monopolized and Others Are Denied the Same Right
Lama Al-Rakad In a world that is supposed to be governed by clear international rules, the nuclear file in the Middle East stands as one of the clearest examples of distorted standards. While one actor is effectively allowed to possess the highest level of deterrent capability without meaningful …
Read More »10-day ceasefire between Lebanon and ‘Israel’ takes effect
A 10-day ceasefire between Lebanon and “Israel” took effect on Friday at 12 am, Beirut time, following sustained Iranian pressure linking any ceasefire agreement with the United States to a halt in Israeli attacks on Lebanon. During the first few minutes of the agreement taking effect, Al Mayadeen’s …
Read More »When Power Meets Its Limits: Why Luck Doesn’t Favor the Devil Forever
By Dennis Ross In international politics, we often confuse capability with inevitability. The assumption that military superiority guarantees strategic success has shaped countless decisions—and just as often, it has led to miscalculation. As Will and Ariel Durant once observed in The Lessons of History, nature and history do …
Read More »Negotiating Under Fire: The Hidden Logic Behind Israel’s Talks with Lebanon
Dr. Shehab Al-Makahleh Diplomacy, in the Middle East, rarely arrives as a gesture of peace. More often, it emerges as an extension of war by other means—language replacing artillery, but not intent. The recent U.S.-brokered meeting in Washington on April 14, 2026—bringing together representatives of Lebanon and Israel …
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