As 2025 drew to a close, global markets and policymakers faced a rare confluence of political risk and monetary maneuvering that promises to shape the coming year. From the United States to Japan, Germany, and China, decisions taken in these final trading days underscored the fragility of economic …
December, 2025
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31 December
Will Saudi Arabia and OPEC+ Stay the Course Toward Market Share?
Greg Priddy The size of the 2026 oil glut is open to question, and OPEC+’s next move remains up in the air. As 2025 draws to a close, the world oil market reflects a near-consensus that the coming year will see substantial oversupply and inventory accumulation, pushing …
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31 December
What the Donald Trump-Benjamin Netanyahu Summit Really Means
Abdulla Al Junaid President Donald Trump is intent on bringing about the second phase of the Gaza peace plan. As President Donald Trump hosts Israeli prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu at Mar-a-Lago today, the United States faces a strategic recalibration across multiple global theatres. And while framed as a …
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31 December
A Reading of the Latest Houthi Statement
By Dr. Shehab Al-Makahleh In a surprising move, the Houthis in Sana’a issued a sharply worded statement in response to Israel’s recognition of Somaliland, asserting that any Israeli presence in the region constitutes a legitimate military target. While brief and direct on its surface, the statement carries long-term …
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24 December
The Quiet Omani Port Reshaping India’s Regional Strategy
Fatemeh Aman Oman’s Duqm port cannot replace India’s dependence on Iran’s Chabahar. But it can help challenge Pakistan in the Indian Ocean. India’s expanding presence along Oman’s coastline has unfolded without announcements, declarations, or diplomatic spectacle. Indian naval vessels have been making increasingly regular port calls to Oman, …
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24 December
Financial Brief: A weekly roundup on the geopolitics of money | Dec 24
Rameen Siddiqui The final week of 2024 delivered a stark message: the era of easy money is over. In a synchronized pivot, the world’s major central banks turned hawkish—the Bank of Japan hiked rates to a thirty-year high, and the ECB signaled an end to easing. This monetary …
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24 December
How China Turned the Arab Spring to Its Advantage
Zineb Riboua China’s inroads in the Middle East demonstrate how the region is still a critical front in the era of US-China competition. The 2025 US National Security Strategy signals the most significant shift in Middle East policy since the Iraq War. The new framework aims to reallocate …
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24 December
What Would Mahan Think About Trump’s Venezuela Strategy?
James Holmes Naval theorist Alfred Thayer Mahan would likely be baffled by Trump’s war on drugs—but would be instantly familiar with his broader geopolitical motives in the Caribbean. What would Captain Alfred Thayer Mahan, America’s fin de siècle evangelist of sea power, say about the US blockade on …
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24 December
Syria’s Transition Is Consolidating Power Without Sovereignty
Dr. Shehab Al-Makahleh Syria is often described as entering a fragile transition. In reality, what is taking shape is something more troubling: a political order that claims stability while institutionalising fragmentation, external control, and undeclared concessions that will shape the country for decades. Recent clashes from Aleppo to …
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