History has a habit of producing unlikely winners. As the closure of the Strait of Hormuz sends shockwaves through global energy markets and forces oil exporters to scramble for alternative routes, one country—long written off as a geopolitical and economic casualty—has emerged as an unexpected beneficiary: Syria. For …
June, 2026
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16 June
Has Trump Found an Exit From the Iran War or Simply Frozen a More Dangerous Conflict?
The conflict began after U.S. and Israeli strikes targeted Iranian military and nuclear facilities. Washington framed the campaign as necessary to eliminate Iran’s nuclear threat and weaken its regional military network. However, the war evolved into a broader regional confrontation. Iran demonstrated its ability to disrupt global energy …
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16 June
China’s Private Security Companies in the Middle East: Commercial Actors, Strategic Tools
Dr. John Calabrese Chinese PSCs are state-adjacent actors embedded in China’s overseas economic expansion, particularly under the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), generating new arenas of US–China security competition in fragile environments. Existing regulatory frameworks have not significantly constrained this trend. International rules remain fragmented, while domestic regulation …
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16 June
The New AI Geopolitics: Governance, Power, and Technological Nationalism
Cristina Vanberghen This article explores the rising convergence of national security considerations and global proliferation of artificial intelligence (AI) technology, especially focusing on the geopolitical ramifications of U.S. limitations on exporting cutting-edge AI technologies and its impact on Europe’s technological autonomy. Based on recent political rhetoric and policy …
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16 June
Loose Bricks? The Question of BRICS
Mugdha Joshi The spokesperson for India’s External Affairs Ministry, Randhir Jaiswal, said in March that “India is actively engaging with member countries of BRICS to arrive at a common position on the ongoing conflict in West Asia.” These talks ended up an exercise in futility, with member states …
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16 June
Hegemony, Sovereignty, and the Price of the American Guarantee
Arthur Michelino The American attempt to end the war with Iran on its own terms has also been an attempt to rearrange the region around it. Alongside the terms it pressed to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and lift its blockade, the United States pressed the Gulf and …
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16 June
Who Controls Artificial Intelligence? The Politics of Frontier AI
Pranjal Saraswat Imagine a policy analyst in Brussels arriving at work on an ordinary morning, carrying coffee in one hand and reports on European cyber resilience in the other. Before her meeting begins, she opens an advanced artificial intelligence platform she regularly uses to map cyber vulnerabilities and …
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14 June
Why Is China Expanding Maritime Pressure Around Taiwan?
Taiwan has sharply rejected China’s latest maritime patrol east of the island, declaring that its sovereignty “cannot be violated” after Beijing concluded a days long coast guard operation in waters that Taipei considers beyond Chinese jurisdiction. The patrol came after Japan and the Philippines announced plans to begin …
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14 June
23rd IISS Shangri-La Dialogue: Can Southeast Asia still be a Zone of Peace, Freedom and Neutrality?
M. Faizal Abdul Rahman Contrast the speeches of the U.S. Secretary of War, Pete Hegseth, and the Secretary-General of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN), Dr Kao Kim Hourn, at the 23rd IISS Shangri-La Dialogue in Singapore on 30 May 2026. It raises the question of whether …
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