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Geopolitics

US and UK launch new attacks on Houthis in Yemen

The U.S. military is intensifying action on two fronts as it battles Iran-backed militants. The actions taken by President Joe Biden have been carefully calibrated to avoid provoking a war with Iran. Instead of targeting Iranian military leadership, Friday’s strikes focused on logistical facilities, weapons storage sites and …

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How the US and Iran Could End Up in a War They Don’t Want

America might be overextended in the region, and Iran might not be able to control its proxies. That’s a recipe for a wider conflict. Can two nations that don’t really want a full-scale war — in fact believe it could be disastrous — find themselves slip-sliding toward one …

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A New Korean War Is Not Imminent. Accidental Escalation Might Be.

The United States should try to mitigate Seoul’s offensive impulses, calm Pyongyang, and take steps to bring back dialogue and negotiation. The security situation in the Korean peninsula is going from bad to worse. Bellicose words dominate over words of peace. Changes in military doctrine and posture have …

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Is the U.S. On the Verge of Another Forever War?

Time is quickly running out to prevent further carnage in Gaza and a region-wide war, the ramifications of which will plague the Middle East and undermine U.S. interests for generations. This past weekend, three U.S. service members were killed in Jordan following a drone strike by Iran-backed militias …

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Why a U.S. Recession in 2024 Could Still Happen

Given their poor forecasting track record, the economic profession could benefit from a dose of humility. Wall Street traders are fond of saying that the consensus economic view is seldom proved correct. Today’s stronger-than-expected GDP numbers and inflation’s welcome deceleration offer yet another example of where the consensus …

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Gaza War: Israel’s Next Choice Could Be Its Hardest Yet

Jerusalem faces a potential two-front war in Gaza and Lebanon amid a widening proxy conflict engulfing the Middle East. Israel’s Minister of Defense Yoav Gallant met with members of the Israeli Artillery Corps near the Gaza border on Monday, January 29. He shared coffee with them, brewed in …

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Will Artificial Intelligence Lead to War?

The impact of generative AI on Asian deterrence is not well understood and may create greater risks of conflict. A deterrence strategy depends on adversaries’ perceptions of both capabilities and intentions. Today, large language models and other fast-evolving forms of generative AI could change those perceptions in ways …

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The U.S. is Repeating Cold War Mistakes with Iran

The notion of Iran as a prime mover—the initiator of regional evil—is just as misleading as it was with the USSR during the Cold War. The U.S.-Soviet Cold War, now more than three decades in the past, is generally considered a “win” for the United States. But even …

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ICJ’s Decisions on Gaza: Political Equivocation and Double Standards

Eng. Saleem Al Batayneh The ongoing story of Palestine continues to haunt the human conscience, with its narrative being written and rewritten throughout history. While many have told their versions of the story, the true story, unknown to most, has been crafted behind closed doors. This article aims …

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