Lama Al-Rakad The image was striking. In Washington, the leader of Syria’s transitional government, Ahmed al-Sharaa, was welcomed as a legitimate political actor after years in which he and his organization were synonymous with jihadist militancy. Whether viewed as diplomatic necessity or geopolitical pragmatism, the transformation raises one …
Read More »Why Trump’s Ceasefires Are Failing to End Middle East Violence
Residents in Gaza, southern Lebanon, northern Israel, and Kuwait faced ongoing violence this week, despite ceasefires arranged by the U. S. supposed to be in place. Israeli airstrikes targeted Gaza and Lebanon, while Hezbollah launched rockets into northern Israel and Iran attacked Kuwait’s international airport. President Donald Trump …
Read More »Thucydides Trap: Is it still relevant today?
For decades, geopolitical scholars have been concerned about a potential hot war between China (the “rising” power) and the US (the “ruling” power) because of the Thucydides Trap, which warns that conflict between the two will very likely occur when a rising power becomes strong enough to unseat the ruling …
Read More »Why Syria is a strategic option in supply chains
Syria’s geography, through a network of international roads and land and sea crossings with connection distances of no more than 500 kilometers, condenses the equations of cost and time in favor of supply and logistics chains between Asia and Europe. This short land corridor directly links Mediterranean ports …
Read More »Global markets mixed due to geopolitical concerns following AI rally
Global markets are trading on a mixed trend on Tuesday following a rally led by tech and artificial intelligence (AI), as risks related to a potential reignition of the Iran war overshadowed Monday’s gains. Despite ongoing US-Iran negotiations, Tehran recently said it will suspend communications with Washington, protesting …
Read More »You’re f****** crazy: Trump scolds Netanyahu for Lebanon escalation
United States President Donald Trump erupted at Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu during a phone call on Monday, sharply criticizing Israeli escalation in Lebanon and using explicit language to press for restraint, according to an Axiosreport citing two US officials and a third source briefed on the conversation. …
Read More »Behave or Be Destroyed: Oman and the Vassal Clause in the American Guarantee
Arthur Michelino On 27 May, asked at a Cabinet meeting whether he would accept a short-term arrangement under which Iran and Oman would share control of the Strait of Hormuz, Donald Trump declined and added a sentence that has since been read as a slip. Oman, he said, …
Read More »Israeli Nuclear Deterrence: Problems of Credibility
Prof. Louis René Beres “Deterrence is not just a matter of military capabilities. It has a great deal to do with perceptions of credibility.”-Herman Kahn, Thinking About the Unthinkable (1962) After its “Operation Roaring Lion” and America’s coinciding “Operation Epic Fury,” Israel’s presumptive nuclear weapons remain essential to …
Read More »China Tech Stocks Surge on AI Optimism Despite Middle East Risks
Technology stocks led a broad market rally across China and Hong Kong on Tuesday as investors poured into artificial intelligence related companies despite continuing uncertainty surrounding developments in the Middle East. The strongest gains came from major technology firms including Tencent and Meituan, helping push Hong Kong’s technology …
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