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Israel-Gaza War: The Cost of Conflict

Israel has long been defined by its security imperatives, but rarely has the price of war been so steeply visible in its economy as it is today. In 2024, Israeli military expenditure soared to 8.8% of GDP—a staggering figure for a developed economy. Projections suggest that defense spending …

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Will Central Asia Join the Abraham Accords?

Eldar Mamedov While the region’s nations have reasons to pursue closer ties with Israel, they will most likely stop short of full diplomatic recognition.  President Donald Trump has often voiced support for expanding the Abraham Accords—the US-brokered normalization agreements between Israel and several Arab states—to include Azerbaijan and …

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Will Hezbollah Disarm?

Alexander Langlois Disarming Hezbollah would be much easier if Israel withdrew its troops from Lebanese territory. In the first week of August, the Lebanese government’s cabinet voted to disarm all armed groups in the country, marking a significant milestone for the country. But will the decision be implemented? …

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Can Washington Ban the Muslim Brotherhood?

Jacob Heilbrunn and Robert Silverman How should the US balance democratic principles with the need to confront groups that shift between ballots and bombs? Calls to ban the Muslim Brotherhood are gaining renewed momentum in Washington, reviving a debate that has long divided policymakers over how democracies should …

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Bangladesh’s 2026 Elections: The Trojan Horse of Democracy

Dimitra Staikou On August 5, 2025, Nobel laureate and interim leader Mohammed Yunus announced that Bangladesh would hold parliamentary elections in February 2026. The Election Commission quickly confirmed the plan, promising an exact date later this year. At first glance, this may look like the return of democracy …

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Europe’s China Blind Spot Is Strategic Negligence

Christina Vangerbhen As the European Union faces growing geopolitical instability, it remains woefully underprepared to engage with one of its most significant strategic partners—and rivals: China. If a crisis involving China were to erupt tomorrow – over Taiwan, trade, or technology – Europe would lack the expertise needed …

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Trump, Peacemaker or Dealmaker? Alaska Will Tell

For all the controversy that trails him, Donald Trump has a record of inserting himself into geopolitical standoffs and sometimes lowering the temperature. During his first term, he broke decades of taboo by meeting Kim Jong Un in Singapore in 2018 and again at the DMZ in 2019, …

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First Real Peace Scenario in CIS: Washington’s South Caucasus Reset

On August 8, a historic summit took place in Washington, D.C., with the participation of the President of Azerbaijan, Ilham Aliyev, the President of the United States, Donald Trump, and the Prime Minister of Armenia, Nikol Pashinyan, attracting global attention. In the U.S. capital, Aliyev, Pashinyan, and Trump …

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Raw Power: How the Global South Can Leverage the Critical Minerals Race

The confluence of two accelerating trends augurs poorly for critical mineral-rich economies in the Global South: the rise of economic nationalism in advanced economies and the return of territorial conquest as a normalized—if not yet fully legitimized—tool of statecraft. The United States and the European Union are aggressively …

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