Geostrategic Media Political Commentary, Analysis, Security, Defense
Othon A. Leon & David Oliver* The Red Sea, particularly the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, has evolved as one of the world’s most hazardous maritime routes. Since late 2023, attacks by Yemen’s Houthi rebels on commercial shipping have hampered global trade, forcing massive vessel rerouting around Africa, raising insurance …
July, 2025
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29 July
Israel’s Gaza War Faces an Inflection Point
Seth J. Frantzman The IDF’s exhaustion and Hamas’ dogged survival points to the likelihood of a Gaza ceasefire in the next two months. The Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) continue to expand operations in Gaza. On July 20, the IDF told Gazans to evacuate an area near the coastal …
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29 July
Erdogan and Shara’s “Sunnification” Project
Sinan Ciddi The recent sectarian violence shows that the Syrian government and its Turkish backers share a dangerous vision of a Sunni-dominant state. Since the fall of Bashar al-Assad’s regime in December 2024, Turkey has pursued a singular objective: the “Sunnification” of Syria. Behind his rhetoric, President Recep …
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29 July
Sanctions Targeting Oil Can be Messy for Those Who Impose Them
Greg Priddy Sanctions targeting oil are often ineffective at changing governmental policy and often impose additional costs on companies and consumers. Amid the current media firestorm around L’Affaire Epstein, few people other than Chevron shareholders noticed the headline last Friday about the Trump administration loosening sanctions on Venezuela …
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23 July
Lithuania considers phasing out Russian as 2nd foreign language in schools by 2026
Lithuania may remove Russian as a second foreign language in schools by 2026, citing changing student preferences and rising geopolitical concerns, a minister said. Vice Education, Science and Sport Minister Jonas Petkevicius said Wednesday that consultations will begin with the Seimas Education and Science Committee, as well as …
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23 July
India Draws the Line with China
Staikou Dimitra India’s recent refusal to sign the draft declaration at the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) meeting marks more than just a diplomatic rebuke—it is a strategic warning. It calls out the growing hypocrisy surrounding terrorism within the SCO, and, more specifically, exposes China’s increasingly blatant manipulation of …
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23 July
Peace or Pretense: Why Turkey Still Refuses to Talk, and the PKK Keeps Asking
Hadi Elis While much of the world remains fixated on conflict zones elsewhere, an enduring and consequential battle persists between the Turkish state and the Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK)—a battle that, at least from one side, has repeatedly seen overtures for peace met with silence or military escalation. …
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23 July
US banking on cheap missiles to narrow China war gap
Gabriel Honrada Defense contractors cranking out low-cost missiles as worries mount US is ill-prepared for protracted fight with China Conceptual image of a Red Wolf missile. Source: L3Harris Technologies The US is betting on a new wave of cheap cruise missiles to win a high-tech war of attrition …
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23 July
To change or not to change in Xi’s China
Francesco Sisci Rumors swirl Xi Jinping is losing his almighty grip but new bodies may refine rather than check his power China’s politics are suddenly in a state of flux. Image: Appia Institute In 2012, the year Xi Jinping took power, it was the 63rd anniversary of the …
