Geostrategic Media Political Commentary, Analysis, Security, Defense
Nadia Helmi
The idea of “the feeling of nationalism and heading east to China and Russia among the Egyptian people has risen among the Egyptian people after the June 30th revolution in the face of American policies and interference in our internal affairs”, at a time when the majority of Egyptians believe that the increase in these American pressures on Egypt may be an opportunity to prove our existence with our allies in the East, such as China and Russia. Through my analysis of the impact of the Conference of Democracies in the United States of America, and the failure of Egypt and the countries of the region to invite it to the relationship of the United States of America and Israel with Egypt and the Gulf in favor of the increasing Chinese and Russian influence, we will find the following:
With the increasing interest of China in transit through the Suez Canal, China has invested billions of dollars in Egypt. Chinese companies are helping (building Egypt’s new administrative capital) in the desert outside Cairo, and developing a port on the Red Sea and an industrial zone in Ain Sukhna. Consequently, China will benefit from the state of anger at the American policies in Egypt and the region to increase cooperation by pumping more Chinese investments in Egypt and the countries of the region, which will threaten the American interests themselves, through (dividing the entire region in the face of Israel as an oasis of American democracy in return for a Chinese-Russian polarization of all Middle Eastern countries).
Here, we find the importance of turning to the forces of the East for the Egyptian President (Abdel-Fattah El-Sisi), which is (China and Russia), and an analysis of his at least six visits to Beijing since he took office in 2014, compared to (only two visits to Washington). Here, it must be borne in mind that (some leaders in the Middle East and the Persian Gulf itself may view China as well suited to dominate their region), which, along with Israel, is made up of states (which share China’s views on state sovereignty, non-interference, and human rights).
It may have become “the opportunity to restore the Egyptian military balance with Israel by arming the Egyptian army with new Russian or Chinese weapons, instead of the American one that is keen to preserve Israel’s qualitative and strategic superiority,” and others consider it to be “linked, in the first place, to obtaining Chinese economic and international external support for the Egyptian side to restore its role away from the politics of dictates and political conditionality”.
In order to know the real goals of holding the conference of democracies in the United States of America at this time and the secret of the American insistence on antagonizing Cairo, the Arab Gulf and the countries of the Middle East, by not inviting all of them to the table of democratic countries around the world, and perhaps the result of this will be (working to restore cooperation with the bear the Russian and the Chinese dragon), and what China can mainly offer to Egypt, in light of the difficult economic conditions in the world after “Covid-19”, and what is reported that it is nothing but an (American attempt to impose a stressful pressures on everyone), and the fact that it revealed the existence of a problem in the American diplomatic presence on the international arena and in the region after breaking its prestige in favor of China and its development projects in the region.
President “El-Sisi’s view” in this context is that: “the biggest political mistake during previous eras was “putting all eggs in one basket”, i.e. courting only the United States of America, the White House and the Western world. President “El-Sisi” believes that “Cairo has to deal with every global power, so that it does not become dependent on one geopolitical axis or the other”.
The first implementation of President “El-Sisi’s strategy” was (trying to cooperate with China, Russia and other emerging powers at all cultural, social, political and military levels), as well as prospects for economic and investment cooperation, which is the most important element for the Egyptian side at the present time.
Therefore, the most important thing that caught my attention recently was the “Chinese rapprochement with and communication with all Egyptian and Arab parties”. And here (China’s willingness came to work with all Egyptian and Arab political parties to confront the new opposition groups, all forms of imposing political forces, and opposing interference in the internal affairs of other countries in the name of human rights). It is certainly what Egypt and all the other powers in the region welcomes.
On the other hand, (China and its Russian ally are trying to benefit from the state of mobilization, popular and official anger in Egypt and the countries of the Middle East and their sensitivity towards excluding them to attend the conference of American Democracies), throughmore rapprochement and policy coordination with all countries in the region. Egypt is one of the first candidates for further rapprochement with the Chinese and Russian sides, given Egypt’s position in the Arab world and Africa, in order to facilitate bilateral and collective cooperation on the (Arab, Islamic and African) fronts, in a way that supports the projects of the Chinese “Belt and Road Initiative”.
Because of the continuing current state of American confusion, as well as (the American insistence on antagonizing Egypt, the Arab Gulf and other states of the region in their confrontation with them because of their failure to invite the conference of American democracies), from here, this has come to a negative result against the American administration, which should worry the United States of America, especially since (China can use its access to all Egyptian ports and the ports of the Middle East countries, and start a policy of alliances and mobilization similar to the same current American game), which will improve China’s position in the Middle East, and with it Russia, of course. Perhaps it will be easier for China and Russia to harm Washington’s interests due to the current state of popular and political anger against it.
The Chinese and Russian sides will try to (take advantage of the American vacuum in the region, especially the opportunity to antagonize Washington to the region, to gather more intelligence information about American interests, similar to Washington’s concerns about the Haifa port in Israel), which will threaten the entire American influence and presence in all areas. The countries of the region, given the persistence of the error and approach of the American policies in confronting all the countries of the region.
It should also (assess other potential security concerns due to the United States of America of not inviting Egypt and the countries of the Middle East to the conference of democracies), and thus antagonizing them against it and jeopardizing American interests, including: The competition of Chinese and Russian military sales to Egypt and countries in the region with American sales to it, and perhaps it will be exploited by China and Russia to get the opportunity to present their advanced technologies in the face of the USA to activate what is, known as: (counter-intelligence in the face of Washington).
The most dangerous in the long run remains (the establishment of Chinese and Russian military bases, specifically in the eastern Mediterranean or Suez by war machines or Chinese and Russian forces, and thus control of the movement of goods, people and global trade in the face of Washington). Perhaps the hostility of the United States of America to Egypt and the countries of the region is a golden opportunity for China and Russia to complete their long-term plans in facilitating obstruction of American interests and engaging with the countries of the region in various partnerships that threaten the American interests in the Middle East.
From here, we arrive at an important analysis that the United States of America, through its insistence on dividing the region and the world, has contributed by hosting a conference for democracy and excluding the countries of the region, through (the ignition of competition and global polarization between the growing great powers, led by China and Russia), in the face of alliances, polarization, and the politics of American mobilization in the region and around the world.
