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The future of strategic intelligence

Giancarlo Elia Valori There are currently three types of intelligence transformations, namely conceptual, technological and operational. In the first case, we are dealing with a new and original intelligence paradigm. From a mechanism based on the identification of the need for information-research-processing and analysis-dissemination-feedback, we are shifting to …

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Iran’s Isolation Continues: A Stranger Among (Feuding) Friends

   Firoozeh Kashani-Sabet US President Trump with representatives from Israel, the UAE and Bahrain for the signing of an agreement to normalise relations, 15 September 2020. The announcement of yet another historic agreement between an Arabian government in the Persian Gulf – Bahrain – and the State of …

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Planning for Belarus After Lukashenko

Thomas de Waal The political crisis in Belarus is now so protracted that analysts are reaching for chess metaphors. The opposition owns the streets of the capital city, Minsk, as another huge demonstration proved again on Sunday, September 27. Yet Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko, whose sickening brutality has shocked the world, …

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India’s tough choice in relations with Iran

Farzad Ramezani Bonesh Senior Researcher and Analyst of International Affairs Iran and India have thousands of year’s records of cultural and civilizational relations. Official relations between the two countries were established after India’s independence. Iran and India signed a friendship pact after India’s independence. Iran’s position in India’s …

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Saudi chairmanship of G20 proves to be mixed blessing

By James M. Dorsey Saudi Arabia’s chairmanship of the Group of Twenty (G20) is proving to be a mixed blessing. The country and Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman saw their chairmanship as an opportunity to showcase the kingdom’s leadership and ability to be a visionary global player. But …

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Evolutions of Strategic Intelligence

Giancarlo Elia Valori What is strategic intelligence currently used for? First and foremost, for correctly orienting the long sequence of decision makers’ interpretations. Secondly, for acting as automatic or non-automatic selector of relevant or non-relevant facts and news for those who have access to the intelligence system. Finally, …

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The 17+1 Framework between China and Europe

Giancarlo Elia Valori In March 2019, Chinese Prime Minister Li Keqiang made a long trip to Eastern Europe. The reference for that trip, full of bilateral meetings, was the one found in the Joint Declaration of the EU-China Summit of April 9, 2019. A document in which, as …

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The African Union Needs to Resolve Ethiopia’s Dam Dispute

Ola Owojori U.S. diplomacy has failed. African diplomacy can’t afford to.The Blue Nile as it passes through the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam, near Guba, Ethiopia, on Dec. 26, 2019.  Eduardo Soteras/AFP/Getty Images Egypt and Sudan have threatened to withdraw from negotiations over the filling and operation of the Grand …

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