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Winter 2021 Economic Forecast: A challenging winter, but light at the end of the tunnel

Europe remains in the grip of the coronavirus pandemic. The resurgence in the number of cases, together with the appearance of new, more contagious strains of the coronavirus, have forced many Member States to reintroduce or tighten containment measures. At the same time, the start of vaccination programmes …

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Environment and development: a Copernican revolution to shift from ‘defensive’ environmentalism to propulsive ecological transition

Giancarlo Elia Valori On November 17, 2018, at 7.30 a.m., near the Paris métro station of Porte Maillot, several hundred people – all wearing the motorcyclists’ yellow reflective vests and waistcoats – started a protest demonstration against President Macron’s government. The protest then spread to the entire French …

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Relations between the United States and Iran (1953-2021)

Giancarlo Elia Valori Why do the United States and Iran keep on fighting each other? The dispute between the United States and Iran began 68 years ago. Since then, new developments added from time to time. In 1953, the U.S. intelligence agency CIA, together with the British MI-6, …

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Radicalisation in the EU: What is it? How can it be prevented?

Radicalisation is a growing cross-border threat. But what is it, what are the causes and what is the EU doing to prevent it? Radicalisation is not a new phenomenon, but it is increasingly a challenge, with new technologies and the growing polarisation of society making it a serious …

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The political debate in Israel triggers a secret war between intelligence agencies

Giancarlo Elia Valori Since the birth of the State of Israel in 1948, the young democracy – imported by force of arms into what Lord Balfour had defined in 1917 as the “Jewish national home” in Palestine – has distinguished itself for being permanently characterized by a lively, …

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How Middle-Power Democracies Can Help Renovate Global Democracy Support

Rachel Kleinfeld, Thomas Carothers, Steven Feldstein, Richard Youngs  Democracy is on the defensive globally. Elected governments are struggling to stand up to emboldened authoritarian rivals. The coronavirus pandemic has increased democratic backsliding. Democracies are struggling to address these international challenges in the face of the pandemic and internal …

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The mistakes of U.S. foreign policy

Giancarlo Elia Valori A few days ago, in a conversation with one of the former protagonists of U.S. foreign policy, in response to my questions and considerations he replied that the second Iraq-U.S. war was an unnecessary disaster, partly balanced by improved relations with Israel and special attention …

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Economic Diplomacy in times of Pandemic

Eugene Matos de Lara The coronavirus presents Germany’s most significant challenge in its postwar history; Chancellor Angela Merkel told viewers across the German nation. COVID triggered the most profound economic recession in nearly a century, threatening almost every fundamental aspect of our societies. The IMF estimates our global …

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The Great Game in the Mediterranean

Gagliano Giuseppe As we have repeatedly stressed, the discovery of large gas fields off the coast of Israel, Cyprus, Egypt and Lebanon, has meant that the Eastern Mediterranean plays an important role in the geopolitics of energy. in the deep offshore it is only profitable in the long …

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