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Negotiating Under Fire: The Hidden Logic Behind Israel’s Talks with Lebanon

Dr. Shehab Al-Makahleh Diplomacy, in the Middle East, rarely arrives as a gesture of peace. More often, it emerges as an extension of war by other means—language replacing artillery, but not intent. The recent U.S.-brokered meeting in Washington on April 14, 2026—bringing together representatives of Lebanon and Israel …

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US and Iran in indirect talks to extend two-week ceasefire

Julian Borger Shah Meer Baloch Andrew Roth The US and Iran have been in indirect talks aimed at extending the two-week ceasefire beyond its expiry on 22 April, as Pakistan’s army chief arrived in Tehran to continue mediation efforts. Karoline Leavitt, the White House press secretary, denied on …

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On the Strait of Hormuz, Who Will Blink First, the US or Iran?

Lawrence J. Haas Iran’s economy is already crippled, but still resilient. The US economy is less threatened, but its political system is less tolerant of short-term economic pain. With its blockade of the Strait of Hormuz now in place, Washington faces the twin challenge of maintaining it in …

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Is Britain considering a return to the EU?

No one should be surprised by the growing number of voices calling for Britain to return to the EU, or at least to accelerate and deepen the “reset” currently underway. There are four sets of reasons for this: Economic: Brexit has turned out to be even more costly …

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War, Energy, and the Remaking of Global Order in Beijing’s Image

The looming May 14–15 summit in Beijing between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping presents a puzzle that conventional geopolitical maps struggle to navigate. As Trump seeks to end the major military operations against Iran before this high-stakes visit, he will find a Chinese leader who is not coming …

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The war that ended nothing

On February 28th, nearly 900 strikes in 12 hours by the United States and Israel hit Iran. By morning, the Supreme Leader was dead. Within days, the Strait of Hormuz was closed, oil surged past $120 a barrel, and Gulf skies filled with interceptors chasing drones that refused …

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Pakistan’s Illusion of Mediation in the Iran–U.S. Ceasefire

Dimitra Staikou As Henry Kissinger once observed, diplomacy is ultimately the art of limiting power. In Pakistan’s case, however, the late-March 2026 ceasefire between the United States and Iran did not demonstrate diplomatic strength—it exposed its limits. Rather than shaping outcomes, Islamabad revealed that it lacks both the …

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Middle East war threatens global food security, growth, warn IMF, World Bank, WFP

The war in the Middle East is driving major disruptions in global energy markets and risks worsening food insecurity, particularly in low-income, import-dependent countries, the International Monetary Fund (IMF), the World Bank Group (WBG), and the World Food Program (WFP) warned Wednesday. In a joint statement, the institutions …

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The Ceasefire in the War on Iran: A Fragile Pause Between Escalation and Unresolved War

After 40 days of sustained military confrontation that pushed the region to the brink of a broader Middle Eastern war—and threatened a global energy shock—the United States and Iran announced, on April 8, 2026, a ceasefire agreement mediated by Pakistan. The deal includes a two-week suspension of hostilities …

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