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Asia Pacific

Balancing the Big Two

A significant number of intellectuals, and social and political scientists believe that the present era is characterized by an imminent confrontation between the United States and China. The political competition for global leadership between these two nations cannot avoid clashing due to their enormous economic potential and military …

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China’s Economic Slowdown is Strengthening its Defense Industrial Base

Nathan Sher As Beijing deprioritizes the real estate sector, it is doubling down on investment in science, technology, and national defense. In 2023, China’s economy grew at the slowest pace since 1990, apart from two years during the COVID-19 pandemic when the country was closed to the outside …

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How Foreign Governments Interfere in U.S. Politics

Paul Pillars From TikTok to AIPAC, intense partisanship provides a channel for foreign states to interfere in U.S. politics and policy. The Chinese ownership of the video app TikTok—targeted by a bill that the House of Representatives passed with a large bipartisan majority—might indicate a severe concern about …

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The Messy Battlespace That Would Be a U.S. vs. China War

James Holmes Warfare in the Pacific between the U.S. and China promises to be an all-service, all-domain, and allied endeavor. Waging it will demand the utmost not just from naval forces but from fellow services that operate from dry earth. It’s a truism that the Pacific is an …

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Is India Losing the Maldives?

As China increases its presence in the Indian Ocean and the Maldives, New Delhi cannot afford to relax. Since assuming power in November 2023, President Mohamed Muizzu’s foreign policy has ruffled feathers in New Delhi. After asking India to remove its military personnel from the archipelagic state, the …

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The Trump factor: The future of US-China relations

The future of the United States’ engagement with the Asia-Pacific is at a critical juncture, particularly given the prospect of Donald Trump being re-elected as President. Despite currently facing legal challenges in the US Supreme Court over his eligibility to run, polls suggest he would likely triumph against …

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A New Korean War Is Not Imminent. Accidental Escalation Might Be.

The United States should try to mitigate Seoul’s offensive impulses, calm Pyongyang, and take steps to bring back dialogue and negotiation. The security situation in the Korean peninsula is going from bad to worse. Bellicose words dominate over words of peace. Changes in military doctrine and posture have …

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Why a U.S. Recession in 2024 Could Still Happen

Given their poor forecasting track record, the economic profession could benefit from a dose of humility. Wall Street traders are fond of saying that the consensus economic view is seldom proved correct. Today’s stronger-than-expected GDP numbers and inflation’s welcome deceleration offer yet another example of where the consensus …

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Trump’s Ukraine Opportunity

Supporting a compromise on Ukraine aid and border protection seems more likely to yield electoral advantage for Donald Trump both immediately and in the long term. With prospects for a Senate border compromise looking increasingly murky amid opposition from former President Donald Trump, further substantial U.S. military assistance …

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