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The Diplomacy Trap: When Time Becomes a Weapon and Negotiations Become War by Other Means

Dr. Shehab Al-Makahleh There comes a moment in every geopolitical crisis when diplomacy ceases to be a pathway to resolution and becomes, instead, an instrument of entrapment. That moment has arrived. What we are witnessing is not the breakdown of negotiations—it is their transformation into a mechanism of …

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The Ceasefire in the War on Iran: A Fragile Pause Between Escalation and Unresolved War

After 40 days of sustained military confrontation that pushed the region to the brink of a broader Middle Eastern war—and threatened a global energy shock—the United States and Iran announced, on April 8, 2026, a ceasefire agreement mediated by Pakistan. The deal includes a two-week suspension of hostilities …

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Iran’s Shadow War May Extend to the Sahel

Dr. Cherkaoui Roudoani In the early hours of a recent morning, surveillance aircraft tracked an unmarked convoy crossing the desert corridors linking the Sahel to the Atlantic coast. It carried no insignia, followed no declared route—and yet, it revealed a growing strategic reality: instability in peripheral regions rarely …

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Hormuz and Bab el-Mandeb: What If Both Close at the Same Time?

For decades, the global economy has relied on a quiet but powerful assumption: the world’s most critical maritime chokepoints will remain open. Two of the most important among them are the Strait of Hormuz and the Bab el-Mandeb. Individually, each is a pressure point. Together, they form a …

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America’s Biggest Export Is Under Attack — The Dollar

Hosein Mortada The United States doesn’t just export goods, services, or technology. Its most powerful export—the one that underpins everything else—is the United States dollar. That export is now facing a slow, strategic challenge. This is not a crisis that will unfold overnight, nor one defined by dramatic …

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The Theatre of Power: A Machiavellian Reckoning in the Age of Strategic Delusion

Dr. Shehab Al-Makahleh There are moments in history when the stage is stripped bare, when the actors—once draped in grandeur—are revealed as mere performers reciting borrowed lines. The current war orbiting Iran, the United States, and Israel is one such moment: a geopolitical drama that would make Niccolò Machiavelli nod …

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Ballistic Diplomacy: Iran, Diego Garcia, and the Mauritius Concession

Arthur Michelino When Iran launched two ballistic missiles toward Diego Garcia on 20 March 2026, the immediate analytical response focused on what the strike revealed about Iranian missile capability and the erosion of assumed sanctuaries in American power projection. Both observations are legitimate as far as they go. …

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Trump Forgot the Strait, and Now America Pays the Price

With Donald Trump back in the White House, and with the administration still selling Operation Epic Fury as a triumph and decisive American power, the gap between performance and policy is impossible to miss. Trump speaks as though force alone can solve whatever he touches. He treats a …

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Minerals, Manufacturing, and the Myth of Decoupling: America’s Dangerous Shortcut to Economic Security

The United States is racing to secure dominance over critical minerals—the raw materials that underpin everything from electric vehicles and wind turbines to semiconductors and missile systems. Framed as a national-security imperative, Washington’s push reflects a growing fear of dependence on China, which controls large parts of the …

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