Lawrence J. Haas Iran’s economy is already crippled, but still resilient. The US economy is less threatened, but its political system is less tolerant of short-term economic pain. With its blockade of the Strait of Hormuz now in place, Washington faces the twin challenge of maintaining it in …
Read More »Is Britain considering a return to the EU?
No one should be surprised by the growing number of voices calling for Britain to return to the EU, or at least to accelerate and deepen the “reset” currently underway. There are four sets of reasons for this: Economic: Brexit has turned out to be even more costly …
Read More »The United States, China, Taiwan and the American Decline
Cheng Li-wun, chairwoman of Taiwan’s main opposition party, the Kuomintang (KMT), visited China from April 7–12, 2026. Following a meeting with the Chinese President, Xi Jinping, both leaders indicated their wish to see a peaceful situation over the Taiwan Strait. The KMT leader too remembered the common cultural …
Read More »The Strait of Hormuz Blockade: A New US-China Flashpoint
Prior to Donald Trump’s Presidential order for the blockade in the Strait of Hormuz, Israel’s recent attack on more than 100 places in Lebanon had violated the long-awaited and most complicated ceasefire agreement between the US and Iran. The seriousness of the Islamabad-brokered peace talk lies in the …
Read More »In the Battle for AI Dominance, Computing Power Is the New High Ground
Ryan Fedasiuk Raw computer processing power—known within the industry as “compute”—is quickly becoming the bottleneck in global AI development, and China has taken note. Since February, I’ve run an AI analytics platform called “Digital Embassy.” Half-private intelligence service, half-public good, it synthesizes daily news wires from 22 world …
Read More »Seven Strategic Illusions of the Iran War: Power, Perception, and the Failure of Interpretation
Dr. Shehab Al-Makahleh There are moments in history when events do not merely unfold—they expose. They reveal not only the limits of power, but the limits of interpretation itself. The recent war with Iran belongs to this rare category: not simply a military confrontation, but an epistemological rupture …
Read More »War, Energy, and the Remaking of Global Order in Beijing’s Image
The looming May 14–15 summit in Beijing between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping presents a puzzle that conventional geopolitical maps struggle to navigate. As Trump seeks to end the major military operations against Iran before this high-stakes visit, he will find a Chinese leader who is not coming …
Read More »Iran’s New Strait of Hormuz Protocol
Iran’s new protocol for the Strait of Hormuz is not a normal maritime regulation. It is a wartime instrument being repackaged as a postwar order. The Reuters report on the ceasefire bargain, the Reuters report on Tehran’s preconditions, and the Reuters report on the Islamabad talks all point …
Read More »Article 42.7 vs Article 5: Europe’s Quiet Contingency for a Post-NATO World
Lexy Reid The 2026 Iran War has functioned thus far as a critical juncture for European security, demonstrating Europe’s continued reliance on US strategic leadership as well as revealing Europe’s exclusion from US high-level military decision-making. The war has also confirmed an asymmetry: Europe bears the consequences of …
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