Prior to Donald Trump’s Presidential order for the blockade in the Strait of Hormuz, Israel’s recent attack on more than 100 places in Lebanon had violated the long-awaited and most complicated ceasefire agreement between the US and Iran. The seriousness of the Islamabad-brokered peace talk lies in the …
Read More »In the Battle for AI Dominance, Computing Power Is the New High Ground
Ryan Fedasiuk Raw computer processing power—known within the industry as “compute”—is quickly becoming the bottleneck in global AI development, and China has taken note. Since February, I’ve run an AI analytics platform called “Digital Embassy.” Half-private intelligence service, half-public good, it synthesizes daily news wires from 22 world …
Read More »Seven Strategic Illusions of the Iran War: Power, Perception, and the Failure of Interpretation
Dr. Shehab Al-Makahleh There are moments in history when events do not merely unfold—they expose. They reveal not only the limits of power, but the limits of interpretation itself. The recent war with Iran belongs to this rare category: not simply a military confrontation, but an epistemological rupture …
Read More »War, Energy, and the Remaking of Global Order in Beijing’s Image
The looming May 14–15 summit in Beijing between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping presents a puzzle that conventional geopolitical maps struggle to navigate. As Trump seeks to end the major military operations against Iran before this high-stakes visit, he will find a Chinese leader who is not coming …
Read More »Iran’s New Strait of Hormuz Protocol
Iran’s new protocol for the Strait of Hormuz is not a normal maritime regulation. It is a wartime instrument being repackaged as a postwar order. The Reuters report on the ceasefire bargain, the Reuters report on Tehran’s preconditions, and the Reuters report on the Islamabad talks all point …
Read More »The war that ended nothing
On February 28th, nearly 900 strikes in 12 hours by the United States and Israel hit Iran. By morning, the Supreme Leader was dead. Within days, the Strait of Hormuz was closed, oil surged past $120 a barrel, and Gulf skies filled with interceptors chasing drones that refused …
Read More »Xi Calls For Rule of Law as China Pushes Back on Middle East War
Xi Jinping has called for the international rule of law to be upheld in the Middle East, in a pointed critique of the ongoing Iran war involving the United States and Israel. Speaking during a meeting in Beijing with Khaled bin Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan, Xi warned …
Read More »Israel and Lebanon Hold US Mediated Talks as Gaza Spillover Conflict Escalates
Israeli and Lebanese envoys are set to meet in Washington in US mediated negotiations aimed at reducing escalating violence between Israel and Lebanon. The talks come amid intensified fighting involving the Iran backed group Hezbollah during the wider Iran war. The conflict escalated after Hezbollah launched missile strikes …
Read More »The Natural Effect of War: Trump, Hormuz and the Logic of Doux Commerce
Arthur Michelino Trump’s suggestion that the United States and Iran might co-administer toll revenues in the Strait of Hormuz has been walked back by the White House within hours. Actually, there is not even a serious reason to believe the joint venture specifically survives the two-week ceasefire window …
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