Geopolitics

The fundamental challenge facing the United States and the West today is not how to adapt to an Asian Century. It is how to live in a world with many illiberal regimes— and resist the illiberal pressures at home. During the Cold War, it was arguably more simple …

The Middle East needs U.S. foreign policy to address two key threats: a weakened but unpredictable Iran and the resurgence of Sunni extremism in Syria. As President Trump begins his second term, he inherits a Middle East from his predecessor that has undergone unprecedented changes. Today, the region’s …

Recent years have seen a noticeable ramp-up of China’s aggressiveness in the South China Sea. While China previously held a far more passive stance in regards to its neighbors, it seems that shaky footage of Chinese Coast Guard vessels or fishing boats shadowing and attacking Philippine vessels with …

Turkey’s President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan has long longed for this moment of vindication. For him, it is a moment ripe with opportunities — economic, political and geostrategic. It is also a moment when Erdogan and his team could attempt to craft a success story for an Islamist entity …

The global prospects for peace remain dim, with a surge in intractable conflicts driven by a proliferating number of parties, overlapping and diverse drivers, and escalating geopolitical tensions and fragmentation. Meanwhile, the intensity and human toll of armed conflicts continue to increase, with a 37% rise in fatalities …

During his first week in office, US President Trump took aim at the norms and institutions of the post-Cold War order, from global management of climate and health to international trade rules. For a decade or more, big players – including Washington – have edged away from the …

The United States needs to redefine its role in world affairs, what does that mean and what will it take? The liberal rules-based international order it built and sustained in the years after the Second World War is disintegrating at an accelerating pace. After a period of comity …

In my new book, The Fall of Israel (2025), I examine the activities of all US postwar administrations regarding the Israelis and Palestinians. The first Trump administration did not just differ from its precursors. It turned upside down five decades of US policies regarding Palestinians. In the next …

In the past decade, the U.S.-led geopolitics and trade/tech wars have undermined international cooperation setting the stage for stagnation in global economic prospects. Trump 2.0 will escalate the status quo, weaponizing executive orders in the name of “national security.” Over half a decade ago, I first warned about …