Dr. Shehab Al-Makahleh Iran’s quiet mobilisation, Russia’s warnings, and Europe’s subtle preparations hint at a global system bracing for trouble Tehran says it wants to move people out of its thirsty capital. Officially, it is about drought: too little rain, too many people, and too many dry reservoirs. …
Read More »“The Greatest Affair of State”: Managing Risks of Nuclear Warfare
Prof. Louis René Beres “Warfare is the greatest affair of state, the basis of life and death, the way to survival or extinction. It must be thoroughly pondered and analyzed.”– Sun-Tzu, The Art of War If “warfare is the greatest affair of state,” nuclear warfare is “greatest of …
Read More »Malaysia’s BRICS Dilemma: Weighing Economic Opportunity Against Geopolitical Risk
Tridivesh Singh Maini Several countries are beginning to show a keen interest in the BRICS grouping in an increasingly uncertain and turbulent global economic landscape. Five countries—Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa—are original members of the organization, while six countries have gotten membership of the organization more …
Read More »The False Promise of the Gaza Ceasefire
Mohammed Ayoob Israeli maximalism and wavering US support do not bode well for a lasting Israel-Palestine settlement. After less than a month, the ceasefire in Gaza is already under immense pressure. In fact, one wonders if it is already irremediable. The trio of American mediators—Vice President JD Vance, …
Read More »What the Iran-Iraq War Teaches About a Russia-China Two-Front Challenge
Dr. Ju Hyung Kim As Moscow and Beijing intensify their cooperation through institutions including the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO), the probability of a dual contingency—Russia embarking on a full-fledged military offensive in Europe, while China conducts an assault against Taiwan—is no longer a long-term hypothesis. Although US policymakers …
Read More »Syria’s Reentry into Washington’s Orbit — A Tactical Shift or a Strategic Gamble?
Dr. Shehab Al-Makahleh In one of the most unexpected political turns of the post-war Syrian landscape, Washington has hosted Ahmed al-Sharaa — formerly known as Abu Mohammed al-Joulani — signaling what may be the beginning of a new American chapter in Damascus. The meeting, quietly held at the …
Read More »What Kazakhstan’s Entry into the Abraham Accords Means
With Astana’s entry, the Abraham Accords have entered into a new phase. Today, in a monumental step, Kazakhstan joined Israel, the United Arab Emirates, Morocco, Bahrain, and Sudan as the sixth member of the Abraham Accords. The decision may come as a surprise to many observers, who have …
Read More »Donald Trump’s Midterm Elections Dilemma
Desmond Lachman President Trump’s management of the US economy is setting his party up for failure in the 2026 midterms. James Carville, Bill Clinton’s political advisor, famously said that when it came to elections, “it’s the economy, stupid.” This week’s convincing Democratic Party triumph at the polls in …
Read More »How to Understand Donald Trump’s Nuclear Testing Remarks
Graham Allison President Trump’s statements about nuclear testing affirm his determination to ensure that the United States maintains the most powerful nuclear arsenal in the world. Last week, President Trump announced that “because of other countries[’] testing programs,” he had “instructed the Department of War to begin testing …
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