Dr. Ju Hyung Kim Iran’s large-scale missile and drone attack against its neighboring countries exposed a critical vulnerability in modern warfare: even advanced missile defense systems can run out of interceptors faster than they can be replenished. In contemporary conflicts, the decisive factor might be which side runs …
Read More »Al-Makahleh: Strategic Irrationality and the Escalation Trap: U.S.–Israel–Iran Conflict
Dr. Shehab Al-Makahleh I. Introduction: War Beyond Reason In the evolving landscape of great power competition and regional conflict, few phenomena are as destabilizing as the gradual erosion of strategic rationality. What begins as a calculated intervention, framed within the lexicon of deterrence and preemption, can rapidly devolve …
Read More »Why the U.S. Must Focus on Iran End-of-War Scenarios
Alon ben Meir Three weeks into launching the war of choice with Iran, the Trump administration still has no plausible exit strategy. Four scenarios Several scenarios are being debated: First, a prolonged air and naval campaign ending in a unilateral U.S. declaration of “victory”. Second, a ceasefire mediated …
Read More »Why Is China Keeping a Low Profile on the Iran War?
Yen Mo The Iran war has been going on for nearly three weeks, and one question that keeps coming up is, “Why isn’t China actively stepping in to mediate this conflict, which is harmful to the global economy—and to its own interests as well?” The answer is very …
Read More »Chokepoint Wars: How the Strait of Hormuz Crisis Is Reshaping Global Energy Security
The modern international system is no longer characterized by the conflicts based on the territorial boundaries but the tensions concerning the strategic routes that support the global economy. Among them, there is a revival of maritime chokepoints as an essential arena of power rivalry. The more recent uproar …
Read More »Iran Expands the War—and Exposes the Illusion of Trump’s Control
The war between Iran, the United States, and Israel has crossed a dangerous threshold. What was once framed as a contained confrontation has now spilled decisively into the Gulf, as Tehran expands its strikes to include U.S.-aligned states. Attacks on energy infrastructure in Fujairah and Abu Dhabi are …
Read More »The Iran-Israel Conflict Enters a Dangerous New Phase
The war between Iran and Israel has escalated beyond what anyone could have anticipated, transforming from targeted strikes into a broader regional conflagration. Each attack now provokes a harsher retaliation, while diplomatic efforts to contain the violence are increasingly ignored. The human and economic toll is mounting, and …
Read More »Strategic Decapitation: How U.S. Strikes Are Reshaping Iran’s Leadership
Since February 28, a coordinated series of strikes by the United States and Israel has targeted the upper echelons of Iran’s leadership, representing one of the most significant and deliberate assaults on the Islamic Republic in decades. These operations, carried out amid ongoing nuclear talks mediated by Oman, …
Read More »Why These Islands Are the Key to the Strait of Hormuz
Abdulla Al Junaid Capturing the Kharg, Qeshm, Abu Musa, and Tunb Islands would untangle Tehran’s stranglehold on the Persian Gulf. The ongoing US-Israeli operations against Iran, while so far tactically successful, will not achieve Iran’s capitulation unless Tehran loses its most potent weapon: control over the Strait of …
Read More »
Geostrategic Media Political Commentary, Analysis, Security, Defense
