Hrair Balian On August 8, 2025, President Ilham Aliyev of Azerbaijan and Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan of Armenia signed a joint declaration for peace at the White House, with President Donald Trump as witness. Their foreign ministers also initialed, pending “further actions” before signing, an Agreement on Establishment …
Read More »Non-West Strengthening Cooperation
George Asatrian Cooperation among leading non-Western countries is increasing. Russia and India will increase the scale of economic cooperation, including in the energy sector. This news has become especially relevant and important in light of recent geopolitical events. It reflects important trends in world politics. Days before, the …
Read More »Europe Cannot Afford to Miss the Indian Moment: Why an EU–India FTA Is Now a Strategic Imperative
Dimitra Staikou Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s presence at the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) Summit in Tianjin at the end of August underscores a shifting global order in which India is emerging not as a junior partner to China and Russia, but as a pivotal swing power. While …
Read More »China and EVs: The “Involutionary” Dilemma
David M. Hart Instead of being a story of evolution and technological development, the story of China and EVs is one of “involution.” The Chinese economy suffers from an excess of competition. Too many products are chasing too few buyers, which is a recipe for plunging prices and …
Read More »The Value of Ceasefires
Paul R. Pillar Even if they don’t solve the fundamental issues of a conflict, ceasefires are still preferable to continuing carnage. Ceasefires—the stopping of a war without full resolution of the underlying political issues—have not been in vogue lately. A recent feature article in The New York Times …
Read More »How to Understand Trump’s Russia Strategy
A. Wess Mitchell Diplomacy with Russia is not capitulation, and talking to Vladimir Putin is not a reward for good behavior. The recent hardening of Russian president Vladimir Putin’s position on Ukraine has led some critics to claim that the Trump meeting in Anchorage was a waste of …
Read More »Mapping the Russia-Ukraine War Endgame
Graham Alison Ukraine faces a difficult choice: end the war and risk conceding territory or fight on and absorb more material, manpower, and territorial losses. Ukrainian president Zelensky brought a map of Ukraine to his meeting with President Trump last week. But he need not have bothered. When …
Read More »Weaponization of Rare Earths: A New Theatre in US-China Competition
Resource competition has intensified between the two great powers, the US and China, due to trade and tariff wars. Recently, both the countries have made major policy shifts in the strategically significant rare earth sector. China discreetly issued 2025 rare earth mining and smelting quotas to its state-owned …
Read More »What Would Security Guarantees in Ukraine Look Like?
In the August 18 meeting between European leaders, Ukraine, and the United States, multiple officials stressed the importance of security guarantees for Ukraine that were Article V–like. These guarantees, especially in the absence of a ceasefire to support negotiations, would need to include foreign troops and monitors on …
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