The U.S. and North Korea are beginning from such a low baseline that even small, incremental changes away from brinksmanship would be a big step forward. Unfortunately, the status-quo is likely to prevail throughout the year. It’s difficult to look at the Korean Peninsula and conclude that Washington’s …
Read More »New Year’s Eve sweeps across Mideast and Europe, but wars cast a shadow on 2024
“At the end of the year, we will have the courage to ask ourselves how many human lives have been shattered by armed conflict, how many dead and how much destruction, how much suffering, how much poverty,” the pontiff said. In Russia, the country’s military actions in Ukraine …
Read More »The global elections Washington should be watching in 2024
Iran’s election to fill seats in the Majlis on March 1 will be the country’s first vote since mass demonstrations in 2022 gripped the Islamic Republic following the death of a young woman who had been detained for allegedly not following state rules on proper dress. Disputed election …
Read More »What Israel Can Learn from U.S. Intelligence Failures
The U.S. experience after 9/11 and the 2003 Iraq War can shed light on how to improve and alleviate coordination problems and intel politicization in Israeli intelligence. New details of Israel’s massive intelligence failure preceding Hamas’s surprise terrorist attack on October 7 continue to come to light. It …
Read More »Sudan’s Road to Nowhere
Nada Wanni The civil war that began in April between rival generals shows no signs of ending. “The Army to the Barracks and the Janjaweed Dissolved,” chanted the Sudanese protestors who flooded the streets of the country in December five years ago this month. The chanting voices of the …
Read More »The Biden Administration Is Quietly Shifting Its Strategy in Ukraine
With U.S. and European aid to Ukraine now in serious jeopardy, the Biden administration and European officials are quietly shifting their focus from supporting Ukraine’s goal of total victory over Russia to improving its position in an eventual negotiation to end the war, according to a Biden administration …
Read More »When Dealing with North Korea, Go Big or Go Home
North Korea is evolving from a relatively contained regional nuisance to a threat with far greater potential reach. As the change occurs, past U.S. methods of dealing with Pyongyang under both political parties won’t work. North Korea is evolving from a relatively contained regional nuisance to a threat …
Read More »Ukraine War in 2024: What Happens Now?
What if there will be little to no aid for Ukraine coming from Washington anytime soon? What does that mean for Kyiv in 2024? What does it mean for Russia? What if there will be little to no aid for Ukraine coming from Washington anytime soon? What does …
Read More »North Korea: Will 2024 Be the Year of Crisis?
The Korean Peninsula will remain stuck in a negative spiral of geostrategic tensions in the coming year. There is little, if any, reason to expect a breakthrough in Pyongyang’s relations with either South Korea or the United States in 2024. The politics of neither the Republic of Korea …
Read More »