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Military & Security

DeepSeek and International Implications: A Reflection Towards Global AI Technology Competition

The 21st century has witnessed artificial intelligence (AI) evolve from a niche scientific endeavor to a transformative global force. Innovations like machine learning, neural networks, and generative AI now underpin industries from healthcare to defense, reshaping economies and redefining geopolitical power dynamics. According to PwC, by 2030, AI …

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The Middle East That President Trump Has Inherited

The Middle East needs U.S. foreign policy to address two key threats: a weakened but unpredictable Iran and the resurgence of Sunni extremism in Syria. As President Trump begins his second term, he inherits a Middle East from his predecessor that has undergone unprecedented changes. Today, the region’s …

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China is Winning, the World is Losing: U.S. is Struggling to Counter China’s Asymmetric Tactics

Recent years have seen a noticeable ramp-up of China’s aggressiveness in the South China Sea. While China previously held a far more passive stance in regards to its neighbors, it seems that shaky footage of Chinese Coast Guard vessels or fishing boats shadowing and attacking Philippine vessels with …

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The Armed Conflict Survey 2024

The global prospects for peace remain dim, with a surge in intractable conflicts driven by a proliferating number of parties, overlapping and diverse drivers, and escalating geopolitical tensions and fragmentation. Meanwhile, the intensity and human toll of armed conflicts continue to increase, with a 37% rise in fatalities …

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Can the international order survive Trump 2.0?

During his first week in office, US President Trump took aim at the norms and institutions of the post-Cold War order, from global management of climate and health to international trade rules. For a decade or more, big players – including Washington – have edged away from the …

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Remaking the World Order: No Small Feat

The United States needs to redefine its role in world affairs, what does that mean and what will it take? The liberal rules-based international order it built and sustained in the years after the Second World War is disintegrating at an accelerating pace. After a period of comity …

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Trump 2.0 and Palestinians: From Reversal to Repression and Deportations

In my new book, The Fall of Israel (2025), I examine the activities of all US postwar administrations regarding the Israelis and Palestinians. The first Trump administration did not just differ from its precursors. It turned upside down five decades of US policies regarding Palestinians. In the next …

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The Imminent Consequences of Trump’s Executive Orders

In the past decade, the U.S.-led geopolitics and trade/tech wars have undermined international cooperation setting the stage for stagnation in global economic prospects. Trump 2.0 will escalate the status quo, weaponizing executive orders in the name of “national security.” Over half a decade ago, I first warned about …

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Iraq on Edge: The Regional Fallout from Syria’s Unraveling

The abrupt collapse of the Assad regime in Syria has sent shockwaves across the region, placing Iraq on high alert. As Syria embarks on an uncertain political transition guided by newly appointed caretaker Prime Minister Mohammed al-Bashir and the interim ministers from the former Syrian Salvation Government, regional …

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