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Russia-CIS

The Peace Deal No One Saw Coming

Shai Feldman Only a small few predicted that President Donald Trump’s efforts to end the Gaza war would succeed. In the Middle East and especially in the realm of the Arab-Israeli conflict, it has always been safe to bet that peace efforts will fail. Something is bound to …

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What the Iran-Iraq War Teaches About a Russia-China Two-Front Challenge

Dr. Ju Hyung Kim As Moscow and Beijing intensify their cooperation through institutions including the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO), the probability of a dual contingency—Russia embarking on a full-fledged military offensive in Europe, while China conducts an assault against Taiwan—is no longer a long-term hypothesis. Although US policymakers …

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Rare Earths: The Hidden Metals Powering the Modern World

Rare earth elements (REEs) are a set of 17 metallic elements that have become indispensable to modern technology and defense industries. Although they are not truly “rare” in the Earth’s crust, they are difficult to find in concentrated deposits and are expensive to separate and refine. The group …

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Strategic Transactionalism in the Caucasus

Damjan Krnjevic-Miskovic The recent Azerbaijan-Armenia peace agreement hints at the features of an emerging world order. Donald Trump’s recent achievements in the Middle East, which came about in no small measure thanks to the efforts of Egypt, Qatar, Turkey, and several other states, should not overshadow his successful …

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Trump and Putin in Budapest: Can a Ukraine Peace Deal Redefine the Future of Nuclear Non-Proliferation?

Fakhar Alam The protracted Ukraine crisis has, at one point, created severe challenges for the global security architecture; on the other hand, it has caused unprecedented damage to the nuclear Non-Proliferation Regime (NPR). Prominently, this crisis has reinforced the perception among non-nuclear-weapon states (NNWS) that possessing nuclear weapons …

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Regulated Disorder: Israel-Hamas and the Truce as a System of Power

Dr. Cherkaoui Roudani This observation by Steven Cook of the Council on Foreign Relations captures the profound metamorphosis of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. War has not disappeared; it has evolved into a system of governance, where violence is converted into a tool of calibrated adjustment. The October 2025 ceasefire between Israel …

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Why Azerbaijan Is the Next Front of US-China Competition

Kamran Bokhari The Trump administration can build on its peace-deal momentum and push out Chinese influence in the Caucasus. From the US geopolitical perspective, Azerbaijan represents a pivotal strategic partner in Eurasia. Having played a key role in mediating a historic peace agreement between Azerbaijan and neighboring Armenia, …

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How Iran, China, and Russia Would React to a US Return to Bagram Air Base

Fatemeh Aman A limited return to Afghanistan would confer immense advantages to Washington while triggering second-order geopolitical repercussions among its rivals. President Donald Trump’s announcement that he intends to bring Bagram Air Base back under US control has set off fresh debate about America’s role in South and …

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The Age of Calculated Chaos: Trump, Putin, and the New World in Waiting

Dr. Shehab Al-Makahleh This is a summary of a paper I presented during a lecture at one of the leading global research centers, outlining my perspective on the similarities and differences between U.S. President Donald Trump and his Russian counterpart Vladimir Putin regarding domestic and foreign policy, and …

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