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Middle East

Syria’s Future – Five Paths That Could Shape the Region

1. A Democratic Republic: A Difficult but Unified Path Forward This scenario envisions a Democratic Republic of Syria established by a coalition of opposition groups with diverse ideologies. While challenging to achieve, this path could gain support from key international players and promote Syria’s unity and stability. 2. …

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The Emerging Storm in Northern Syria: Seeds of a New Conflict and the Geopolitical Ramifications

Dr. Shehab Al-Makahleh As I have stated repeatedly in television interviews and op-eds published in various newspapers and magazines across multiple languages, the Middle East is on the brink of a major conflict. I have warned that the real war will erupt by the end of December 2024 …

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The Return of ​​Syria’s Rebels: Neither Unexpected Nor Final

The survival of the Assad regime now depends on coordination and mutual understanding between Iran, Russia, and Turkey. The sudden territorial gains of Hay’at Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) in northern Syria, including Aleppo—Syria’s second-largest city—have reawakened the nation’s dormant civil war. Although these developments may catch some off guard, …

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Nuclear Escalation Doctrine – What America and Russia’s “Firebreaks” Mean for Israel’s Security

As Israel edges closer to decisions about preemptive strikes on Iran, it must navigate an increasingly complex global security landscape shaped by U.S. and Russian nuclear doctrines. These doctrines—markedly divergent in their thresholds for nuclear engagement—carry profound implications for Israel’s strategic calculus, particularly as it weighs anticipatory self-defense …

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Trump’s Second Term and the Middle East: A Forecast of Challenges and Opportunities

On November 6, 2024, Donald Trump secured victory in Wisconsin, surpassing the required 270 electoral votes, confirming him as the 47th president of the United States—a second term of the presidency after losing to Joseph Biden in the 2020 election. After Grover Cleveland, Trump is the second U.S. …

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King Abdullah’s Speech from the Throne

By Shehab Al-Makahleh His Majesty King Abdullah articulated in his Speech from the Throne a roadmap for the Kingdom’s future as it navigates the volatile realities of the Middle East. His address was laden with meaning, offering clarity on Jordan’s steadfast principles, its approach to the Gaza crisis …

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The Return of the Unpredictable Disruptor

Eng. Saleem Al Batayneh As Donald Trump’s potential return to the White House looms, the world braces for the unpredictable, the audacious, and the unsettling. For many global leaders, particularly in the Arab world, his re-election is a harbinger of chaos and coercion, not just for policy but …

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Biden’s ATACMS Gambit on Ukraine Could Blow up in America’s Face

It doesn’t matter how many long-range missiles we give to Ukraine. Those alone will not change any dynamic on the battlefield—any more than the previous entry of Western tanks, armored personnel carriers, artillery pieces, air defense weapons, HIMARS systems, or even the vaunted F16s. The war is lost …

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Global Disorder, Middle Powers, and the Next POTUS

America needs partners in Eurasia who can help Washington at a time when Moscow and Beijing are trying to undermine the architecture of the international system. After a decisive victory, former President Donald J. Trump is gearing up to return to the White House. As is the case …

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