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Asia Pacific

The Trump factor: The future of US-China relations

The future of the United States’ engagement with the Asia-Pacific is at a critical juncture, particularly given the prospect of Donald Trump being re-elected as President. Despite currently facing legal challenges in the US Supreme Court over his eligibility to run, polls suggest he would likely triumph against …

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A New Korean War Is Not Imminent. Accidental Escalation Might Be.

The United States should try to mitigate Seoul’s offensive impulses, calm Pyongyang, and take steps to bring back dialogue and negotiation. The security situation in the Korean peninsula is going from bad to worse. Bellicose words dominate over words of peace. Changes in military doctrine and posture have …

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Why a U.S. Recession in 2024 Could Still Happen

Given their poor forecasting track record, the economic profession could benefit from a dose of humility. Wall Street traders are fond of saying that the consensus economic view is seldom proved correct. Today’s stronger-than-expected GDP numbers and inflation’s welcome deceleration offer yet another example of where the consensus …

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Trump’s Ukraine Opportunity

Supporting a compromise on Ukraine aid and border protection seems more likely to yield electoral advantage for Donald Trump both immediately and in the long term. With prospects for a Senate border compromise looking increasingly murky amid opposition from former President Donald Trump, further substantial U.S. military assistance …

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What Will China Do Now on Taiwan?

The election of Lai Ching-te is not welcome news to the Chinese Communist Party. On January 13, 2024, Taiwan completed its eighth presidential elections since the self-governed island became a fully-fledged liberal democracy in 1996. Defying Beijing’s threats, Taiwan’s voters elected Lai Ching-te of the ruling Democratic Progressive …

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Is North Korea Really Getting Ready for a War Against America?

So, what is Kim Jong-un trying to accomplish? Kim apparently has a longer-term plan that could explain his 2024 provocations, nuclear weapon production, and threats of war. In late-2023, the South Korean National Intelligence Service warned that North Korea was likely “to engage in unexpected military and cyber provocations” in 2024. …

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Joe Biden Has Never Looked Weaker…or Not?

Jacob Heilbrunn The Biden administration, if anything, seems to have a new spring in its step as Trump claims the Republican candidacy for the presidency. Maybe it knows something that handwringing Democrats are forgetting, which is that Trump may be the one person who can singlehandedly ensure Biden’s …

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Understanding the Franco-Indian Relationship

Don Gill Among Western countries, France has often been the first to illustrate a mature understanding of India’s position on varied issues ranging from nuclear tests to the ongoing Russia-Ukraine War. French President Emmanuel Macron has accepted the invitation to be the chief guest at India’s Republic Day …

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5 Myths About the U.S. Military That Need to Go Away

Pop culture understandings of the American military dominate the minds of most people. Whether it’s Hollywood making a war movie like Pearl Harbor with numerous historical inaccuracies or an unrealistic depiction of wartime conditions in The Hurt Locker, numerous narratives emerge that misrepresent the U.S. military. Pop culture …

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