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Planning for Belarus After Lukashenko

Thomas de Waal The political crisis in Belarus is now so protracted that analysts are reaching for chess metaphors. The opposition owns the streets of the capital city, Minsk, as another huge demonstration proved again on Sunday, September 27. Yet Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko, whose sickening brutality has shocked the world, …

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India’s tough choice in relations with Iran

Farzad Ramezani Bonesh Senior Researcher and Analyst of International Affairs Iran and India have thousands of year’s records of cultural and civilizational relations. Official relations between the two countries were established after India’s independence. Iran and India signed a friendship pact after India’s independence. Iran’s position in India’s …

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Saudi chairmanship of G20 proves to be mixed blessing

By James M. Dorsey Saudi Arabia’s chairmanship of the Group of Twenty (G20) is proving to be a mixed blessing. The country and Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman saw their chairmanship as an opportunity to showcase the kingdom’s leadership and ability to be a visionary global player. But …

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Evolutions of Strategic Intelligence

Giancarlo Elia Valori What is strategic intelligence currently used for? First and foremost, for correctly orienting the long sequence of decision makers’ interpretations. Secondly, for acting as automatic or non-automatic selector of relevant or non-relevant facts and news for those who have access to the intelligence system. Finally, …

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The 17+1 Framework between China and Europe

Giancarlo Elia Valori In March 2019, Chinese Prime Minister Li Keqiang made a long trip to Eastern Europe. The reference for that trip, full of bilateral meetings, was the one found in the Joint Declaration of the EU-China Summit of April 9, 2019. A document in which, as …

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The African Union Needs to Resolve Ethiopia’s Dam Dispute

Ola Owojori U.S. diplomacy has failed. African diplomacy can’t afford to.The Blue Nile as it passes through the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam, near Guba, Ethiopia, on Dec. 26, 2019.  Eduardo Soteras/AFP/Getty Images Egypt and Sudan have threatened to withdraw from negotiations over the filling and operation of the Grand …

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Macron sails electricity in the Baltic States

Kristupas Gavelis French President Emmanuel Macron visited Lithuania and Latvia. Lithuanian public broadcaster LRT reported that such visit during COVID-19 is a demonstration of solidarity with the Baltic States. But it seems as if it has more pragmatic reasons. “We are working together, and we want to move forward …

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Shaping Palestinian politics: The UAE has a leg up on Turkey

By James M. Dorsey The United Arab Emirates may have the upper hand in its competition with Turkey in efforts to shape Palestinian politics. Similarly, the UAE’s recognition of the Jewish state gives it a leg up in ensuring that its voice is heard in Israel and Washington …

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